bobreuschlein

Military Empire and Climate Cycle Views

Archive for the tag “history”

Misogyny Militarism Empire

When Lawrence Britt coined the “14 Characteristics of Fascism” in the Spring 2003 Issue of “Free Inquiry” magazine, these two stood out from a recent experience:

Rampant Sexism
The governments of fascist nations tend to be almost exclusively male-dominated. Under fascist regimes, traditional gender roles are made more rigid. Opposition to abortion is high, as is homophobia and anti-gay legislation and national policy.

Rampant Cronyism and Corruption
Fascist regimes almost always are governed by groups of friends and associates who appoint each other to government positions and use governmental power and authority to protect their friends from accountability. It is not uncommon in fascist regimes for national resources and even treasures to be appropriated or even outright stolen by government leaders.

Academic Conference Story

In the seventy-third year of empire, American’s heavy military drain on manufacturing has taken its toll on the American economy.  With the steel industry under assault in the sixties, autos in the seventies, unions in the eighties, the end of the Cold War gave a peace dividend to the tech industry nineties. Then new wars and uncontrolled derivatives gave us the Great Recession.  Now America’s last premier industry, higher education, is showing strains.  In a conference in Europe, 90% of the panelists were male.  And of the four women, three were master’s students.  Then cronyism and chauvinism teamed up against the one full professor woman.  She was told not to respond to one question and also a colleague with hand raised from the start was deliberately passed over trying to ask a question.  She asked about this afterwards and was told “You got your fifteen minutes.” She was later called a cry baby.  One of the other cronies kept trying to force a young woman grad student to say something positive about Trump’s attacks of Amazon, when it was completely unwarranted.  The woman professor and her colleague were later singled out as outstanding presentations of the conference by a friendly old timer in a wrap up session.  These are examples of the persistent sexism and cronyism in today’s academic institutions.  Good new ideas are often greeted with cynicism by the cronies.

Best Countries for Women

US News and World Report ranked the best countries for women in 2014.  Five of the G7 countries were in the top 16, all five in perfect inverse order of their military spending as a percent of the economy in 2005.  Canada was 6th best for women with 1.1% military economy, followed by Germany 10th with 1.5%, United Kingdom 13th with 2.4%, France 14th with 2.6%, and last the United States 16th with 4.1%.  The Scandinavian countries and the Netherlands were in the top five, and Switzerland Australia and New Zealand were between Germany and Canada in the top 10.  The top seven were all cold or Northern countries, while Australia and New Zealand are both close to the South Pole.

Women in National Legislatures

Those same top five of the G7 countries for women had above world average women in legislature percentages except for the high military United States which had 19% in 2010, below the world average of 23%.  The two most humbled countries that had lost a war in the forties and been occupied, had the highest percentage of women in the legislature, France 39% and Germany 37%.  The three former British Empire countries had the lowest percent of women in the legislature, Britain 32%, Canada 26%, and United States 19%.  Australia was between Britain and Canada at 29%, and Britain was more like the other European countries.

Arrogance of Empire

Whether you call it empire, fascism, militarism or misogyny, these terms tend to travel together and promote sexism.  What ever it is, it tends to make things stagnant and backwards, kind of like the militarism, inequality, and scientific backwardness of the medieval and feudal ages.  Please note in the above statistics the pattern of militarism adversely impacting women.  Also note the sexism cronyism and corruption of the current American President Trump. 

First two pages were my presentation handouts at the empire conference mentioned above:

https://www.academia.edu/36620474/Good_Concepts_May_2018_Update_Ten_Pages

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, September 10), “Misogyny Militarism Empire”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Misogyny-Militarism-Empire,2018161729.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

 

 

Advertisements

Power Corrupts Absolutely

When a nation takes potent research and capital resources and diverts them to power projection, it is sacrificing achievement for power.  Put another way, the nation is trading civilian manufacturing for political services.  That is why services grow at the expense of manufacturing in an empire society.  That is not an accidental association, it is a forced zero-sum choice.  Pure achievement respects and rewards the middle class as an important part of the innovative process.  Power and control thrives on stagnation and limitation of the middle class.  When merit and what you know becomes less important than who you know, classism and more rigid hierarchy sets in and social mobility suffers.  This is the beginning of the corruption of power and empire and it is a direct result of the basic power versus achievement choice made in the first place.  So political social and economic rigidity are all logical results of the choice in favor of empire backed up by the military.

Political Corruption

When the military becomes the major force in society, allocating the resources of the military becomes the major object in politics.  Then those in charge of the allocation process become the most powerful in that society. For the United States that means those chairing or sitting on the four key, House and Senate, Armed Services and Defense Appropriation Subcommittees.  In addition the leaders of the Senate and House, who often place themselves on the four key committees, share the loot with the President. Those that represent large military factories, bases, or service providers have political advantages over others in this process.  Because military manufacturers overpay their employees about one third more than non-military similar occupations and are directly dependent on the federal budget, the incentives for political involvement are very high.  Talent, money, and motive increase the power of these communities in the political process.  Major presidential candidates usually come from these powerhouse communities.  Power is a two way street in this process, such that people coming from high military states have twice the chance of those from low military states in leadership areas like congressional leadership, presidential cabinet members, supreme court appointees, and presidents.  The corruption involved in this process drives up the local crime rates and corruption levels in local business.

Other Corruptions

Because the military budget allocation process is based more on political power than proposal merit this is another great source of corruption.  There is no way to test products against the consumer marketplace like in other industries, so there is a lot of guess work rather than science in the choices made.  The test of battle comes too infrequently to be of much use, so there is a tendency to overbuild and overspend to ensure an advantage, leading to a lot of waste.

There is too much single person and hierarchical decision making and an emphasis on short term thinking.  The flexibility of a normal marketplace is not there in the military industrial complex.  This creates a kind of complacency among many who feel they can not change the system.  This in turn leads to less healthy choices and living styles.  This drives up the cost of health care and leads to a search for alternatives like drugs and lotteries to break the tedium of being cut out of the decision-making process.  Apathy extends into the stagnancy of the political process.

War Corruptions

Those involved in the war fighting of empire come away with an exaggerated level of self importance. Soldiers have the power of life and death and tend to use it too capriciously. This is another corruption the average soldier learns to live with.  Then the war fighters bring the stress home with them as the contrast between war and peace leads to culture shock.  Humans are normally loving and friendly, not readily prepared for shock and horror.  The confusion between friends and enemies also is a form of corruption.  Too much thinking about enemies leads to alienation and corrupts the soul.  Empathy is a casualty of this process and inappropriate actions can add to the domestic crime rate at home.  Families are put under a lot of stress and sometimes break apart.  Bad habits formed overseas can be taken home with the soldiers.

Arrogance of Empire

The humility and humanity of the thirties Great Depression lasted about a generation after the World War in the United States.   Then the arrogance of empire started to concentrate more in one of the political parties than the other.  Politics in America gradually became more hostile, bitter, and divisive from the 1980 election of Ronald Reagan onward.  Reagan removed the equal time doctrine allowing right wing radio and television to emerge and creating two Americas with very different political ideas.  This evolved over time with demonization of liberals and Democrats.  Clinton was faced with Newt Gingrich as the first Republican Speaker of the House in 40 years, and Obama was faced with a Tea Party congress as America began the rightward movement that produced Trump today.  Trump challenges almost every American tradition and norm of government.  Trump has been documented in 5000 lies so far creating an alternative reality among his followers thanks to right wing alternative media and press.  He attacks anyone who dares to disagree with him thanks to his 40 million social media followers, his own personal direct media.  He has raised arrogance to unprecedented new levels with his cult of personality.

 

For further power and corruption research read the following:

https://www.academia.edu/11421799/MILITARISM_CONTROL_Empire_Social_Decay_6p

 

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, August 26), “Power Corrupts Absolutely”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Power-Corrupts-Absolutely,2018161184.aspx

 

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Militarism Distorts America

The United States of America has changed a lot since World War II.  Some changes were immediate, some changes took a generation or more to sink in.  Military spending, my preferred empirical measure of empire, is the prime factor for almost all of these major changes in US society.  All of my various models show that military spending has negligible or no benefit for the economy.  It acts like lost capital investment, lost manufacturing, as the resources going into the military deplete civilian manufacturing elsewhere in America, especially depleting the Great Lakes industrial economy of the heartland.  This last part is clearly shown by regional models.  These economic changes then distort America in many ways, political, social, moral, sapping the energy and enthusiasm of all Americans as a whole.  This is what I call the “social decay of empire.”  It includes rising crime, rising income inequality, less social mobility, growing apathy, and rising anxiety and depression.  Stagnation sets in economically first, then stagnation contributes to political gridlock over time.  Fortunately empire decay is not inevitable, lowering military spending can reverse course.  But many of the social time lags can persist generationally, even while economic growth changes annually.

Similar Systems

The empire system is similar to two others:  the medieval system and the third world system.  All three systems are characterized by high military spending, high income inequality, and authoritarian power structures.  The church and ideology gain strength in such systems while science and innovation suffer.  Social mobility suffers as rigidity is favored in class based systems of power and opportunities.  Crime, poor health, drugs, gambling, red tape and escapist entertainment rise under such systems, reflecting widespread alienation and apathy.  Power and control are favored in such systems over achievement and individual merit.

Challenger Systems

Achievement is more evident than power as a prime motive of the emerging power of a challenger society.  Left alone to develop or separated by large bodies of water, societies can grow more powerful and economically strong until they are ready to sneak up on the reigning hegemonic or empire society.  Major wars of the 54 year cycle type are often between the number one economic power and the number two economic power.  Note that the economic strength is usually more important than the military strength.  Moving up the economic ladder of nations requires keeping the military low and minimal, a strategy that fits the “reduction of armies” clause in Alfred Nobel’s will as the second of three ways to earn a Nobel Peace Prize.  This also fits the biblical verse of the Sermon on the Mount of “blessed are the peacemakers for they shall inherit the earth.”  Aligning the motives of the powerful and the peacemakers is a great way to achieve world peace.

Engineering is important to an emerging society to meet its goals.  Lawyering is important to the more stable empire society, because a slow growth society will naturally have more conflicts as boundaries are defined and defended.  In the high growth society such boundary disputes look like a waste of time compared to pioneering the next great step forward.  This leads to achievement, engineering, merit, and innovation being valued over power, control, position, and legal boundaries.

Warfare Systems

War is the easiest and quickest way to take away a large number of lives.  The ultimate power is to take away another life.  Valuing your friends over your enemies leads to a certain tolerance of civilian collateral damage in the process.  This relative carelessness carries over into civilian life in an empire culture with a similar devaluing of “others” such as crime victims or other ethnic groups and genders.  Alienation and separation from others makes crime more likely, just as economic stagnation makes some people more desperate.  The fear based brain and the rational brain correspond to the power oriented and achievement oriented societies respectively.  Violence crime and corruption are fellow travelers of the fear based brain empire societies.  Doing whatever you can get away with under the law is a corruption of doing whatever is fair and best for everyone concerned.  Thus it is no accident that the highest military spending per capita US states were the leaders in the corruption of mortgages that resulted in the Great Recession of 2008.

Timing Factor

Economics is clearly the driving factor in empires, as changes in military spending change the economic growth rate in the same year.  Great Recession data even suggests the military economic change shows up quarterly.  The 1982 recession starts in July 1981 suggesting the anticipation of the fiscal year 1982 military buildup began then with congressional committee budget decisions essentially completed that month.  Then defense contractors started hiring in July 1981 draining key talent away from civilian businesses to begin the recession as those civilian businesses start to collapse.  On the other hand, crime rates dropping after the end of the Cold War in 1989-1991 suggest a five year delay between military spending changes and crime rate changes, suggesting that the formative years before age 18 are crucial to crime statistics.  Elementary teachers can spot the at risk students immediately and criminal activity can begin before age 18, so maybe a 9 or 11 year moving average of military spending maybe better correlate with the crime changes.  Likewise, crime does not move up immediately with the Iraq War bulge in US military spending.  Still peaceful Germany lowers its crime rate about 20% relative to the US rate over than time period (2003-2011 inclusive) of the nine year US war.  The end of Cold War military budget cuts were much deeper in Europe than in America dropping crime rates in Europe.  Income inequality quadrupled in three decades and social mobility was made much worse over time after the 1981 Reagan tax cut dropped the top tax rate 60% (mainly affecting the top 1%) while only cutting the middle class tax rates 15%.   The Yankee ingenuity confident America of its first two centuries seemed to dissipate after the Vietnam War while at the same time locking in the empire attitude with the two generation long Cold War.  Trump shook up the international structure politically while preserving the empire economically with a military budget increase.  Lowering the military budget after the Iraq War withdrawal in 2011 increased job growth for the last five Obama years.  Trump’s military buildup stalled that job growth in 2017.  Job growth in the last five Obama years was 25% higher than Trump’s first year, making that year 2017 the worst job growth of the last six years.

Findings and Special Claims over 33 years of military economy research:

https://www.academia.edu/37217512/Findings_and_Special_Claims_November_2017_2_pages

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, August 14), “Militarism Distorts America”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Militarism-Distorts-America,2018160716.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

 

Climate Theories Clarified

Today’s climate change discussion has become contentious in America.  Those that try to deny the reality of the Greenhouse Effect have so put the scientists in a box that they have been over-reacting defensively.  Without the Greenhouse Effect our world would be an ice ball.  That’s 16 degrees cooler Celsius or 29 degrees cooler Fahrenheit.  Melting the ice over Greenland or Antarctica would raise the oceans enough to endanger half the world’s population.  So the crisis is not trivial, yet not all the information is out there and the science is not complete.  Fake science from the fossil fuels industry is a real challenge, and because of this fake science, some real science is being misjudged, overlooked, or even attacked.  I dare to set the record straight at the risk of being labelled a climate denier, which I am not.

Greenhouse Effect Clarified

In 1828 when the first research discovered that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can raise temperatures, it was also discovered that each doubling of the carbon dioxide raised the temperature a fixed amount.  So there are diminishing returns on the Greenhouse Effect.  This was demonstrated by a student paper using a climate model that showed when he exceeded the professor’s instructions to go out one hundred years only, and instead went out two hundred years, he discovered that the effects leveled off in the second century.

In my Unitarian church group in Eugene Oregon USA, in the early nineties, I had a professor friend who taught Biology.  One day he stated that the environment is getting so bad that in about a decade we are going to face real disasters.  Then his wife spoke up and said he’s been saying the same thing for fifty years.  Perhaps Lovelace’s Gaia Hypothesis about the resiliency of the Earth is accurate, and the Earth adjusts to all these insults and injuries.

In a seminar, circa 1990, I was attacked viciously just for asking a question of one environmentalist academic on a panel at Notre Dame.  Late on the plane flight home I asked a scientist sitting next to me, and he answered that the science is there, but there are lots of uncertainties remaining.  The 97% of scientists claim has been around for a very long time.  Michael Mann’s attempt to eliminate the warmer period one thousand years ago is a major exception to his hockey stick claims.  Many other claims ignore their lack of current fit when this cycle theory would readily correct that inaccuracy.  Telling them that after their lecture and giving them a handout does no good.

Reuschlein’s Climate Cycle Origins

Inspired by Richard Hansen of NOAA data from 1899 to 1988 shown on C-SPAN, about the extreme nature of the 1988 drought in the USA, I videotaped and decoded that data to begin a three year effort to explain the 54 year cycle’s natural origins.  Only the 1934 and 1936 droughts met the very high temperature departure level of the 1988 drought, 54 and 52 years apart.  Each of these three years were 50% more than the 4th place year.  Using 16 data sets from “Trends 90” and other sources, the puzzle finally fell into place comparing the Northern and Southern Hemispheres temperatures.  After I published “Natural Global Warming” May 7, 1991, one of my readers next month commented that the June 16, 1991 Pinatubo volcano eruption confirmed my theory, exactly 108 years after Krakatoa in 1883.  Those are the two largest volcanic eruptions in the last 200 years.  The US Blizzard of 1996 was the biggest blizzard since the US Blizzard of 1888 just 108 years before.  These two perfect fits were every other 54 year cycle and both in the oceanic half (Southern Hemisphere hotter) of the 108 year cycle.

Weather Wealth and Wars

Extending the cycle to economics and then wars took several years.  Multi-year moving averages of different lengths clearly pointed to tops and bottoms 54 year apart in the US economic history data, as well as the US temperature data.  But the timing did not match and it took a long time to find the link.  The link finally emerged not through agriculture but through Frederick Taylor is the pioneer in this area with 1890s railway building studies.  Then the relative economic success of temperate zone versus tropical economies, stock market studies showing better performance in cold months and long term US analysis showing weaker economic growth in long term warming periods all confirm the Taylor findings in a wider set of areas.  Lastly, the major wars had a periodicity to them.  They consistently occur after major economic booms are ending, when wealth and differences among nations are at a peak.  They also occur in major cold years at the end of cooling streaks.  Knowing when wars tend to occur reduces the uncertainty that leads to military over-preparation, which is costly to society.  Good defense planning will reduce the military whenever war is less likely.  Nicolai Kondratieff in 1926 in Russia began the work on long cycles in economics.  See the link attached for my detailed power-point as presented in Toronto at the World Conference on Sociology to a beaming audience of proud Russians and others.

Presentation Combining the Three Kondratieff Waves, Natural, Economic, Wars:

https://www.academia.edu/37064850/Weather_Wealth_Wars_54_Year_Cycle_7-21-18_2p

List of 56 major events 2.5% error (1.32 years average error) on 54 years cycle time:

https://www.academia.edu/4101856/EVENTS_Weather_Economy_War_List56_54yrCycle_3p.

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, July 27), “Climate Theories Clarified”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Climate-Theories-Clarified-USA,2018160104.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

How Right Wing Changed USA

Perhaps it began with McCarthyism, Ayn Rand, and the John Birch Society reaction against Communism, the New Deal, and the Great Society.  Of course it began with the birth of Empire America after World War Two.  But I agree with Cedrick Smith’s book “Who Stole the American Dream” that the Powell memo of 1971 (and the Nixon administration) instituted and planted the seeds of reaction to the Civil Rights movement and the peace movement against the Vietnam War.  The birth of monetarism economics eclipsing Keynesianism is also an important part of the story.  The first step was the rise of right wing institutes in the seventies like ALEC, CATO, and Heritage to rationalize the domination of the ruling class over the middle class.  This and the socioeconomic nature of a high military spending society pushed America into more of a medieval and Third World society, away from democracy and towards dictatorship.  Of course the 1947 National Security Act begins the empire society gradually leading to the rise of Ronald Reagan.  But the crucial step in this long transformation is the 1981 Reagan tax cut.  This 60% cut in the top income tax rate directly stops social mobility, freezing the middle class out of future income gains and locking in ever increasing income inequality and the current lack of social mobility.  America has traded places with Europe becoming a class based society abandoning the Horatio Alger tradition.  The dominoes of empire just keep falling into place with the rise of the Newt Gingrich Republican congress of 1995.  The last time the congress produced a regular budget with 12 appropriations bills was 1994.  Now spending is passed in omnibus bills for short periods of time less than a year, so leadership controlled that the dysfunctional congress is increasingly over time more dictatorial and less democratic.  Reagan’s repeal in 1987 of the “equal time” provisions for political discourse in the mass media lead directly to right wing radio like Rush Limbaugh and right wing television like Fox News in 1996.  Clinton’s 1999 repeal of the 1938 Glass-Steagall bill separating banking from investment banking leads directly to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 nine years later with a tenfold increase in derivatives without government oversight.  Frank Luntz, Newt Gingrich, and twelve leading House and Senate Republicans met to block all Obama legislation, including emergency economic bailouts while the economy was losing 750,000 jobs per month, in a decision reached 1-20-09 the night of Obama’s inauguration.  Mitch McConnell, the Republican Senate leader implemented that policy then, and later in blocked Obama’s Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland immediately one hour after the death of Anthony Scalia February 13, 2018.  Such extremism was later matched by Trump’s attempted appeal of everything Obama, including health care.  Clearly there has been an unbelievable escalation of obstructionism since 1971.  Jimmy Carter and a Princeton study have recognized this rise of oligarchy at the expense of democracy.  The activist reactionary Supreme Court, conservative since 1972, has gone radical right since choosing a president in the Bush v Gore case of December 12, 2000.  It repealed election finance laws in Citizens United 2010, and destroyed a forty year precedent in labor relations in 2018 and refused to reverse an absurd reapportionment in Wisconsin this year.

Reuschlein’s Theory of Empire

There is no greater power than the power to take one’s life away.  Hence military power represents a widescale application of such power.  Presidents with wars attached to them tend to be our highest ranked presidents, hence winning war is usually rewarded handsomely on the president’s biography and historical review. Wars are very expensive, hence great political power is exerted doling out the money.  High military spending states dominate the leadership in congress, the cabinet, and the presidency.  Judging by the Roman Empire and modern experience, there is a strong tendency to become less democratic and more autocratic the longer an empire exists.  In Rome the movement was from republic to emperor.  In America the movement of power is from congress to the executive, and in congress from committees to leadership.  Politics moves from flexible to rigid.  Too many people view these trends as inevitable, when in fact levels of military funding can be shown over and over again as the prime forcing agent in things like deindustrialization, low economic growth, inequality, crime, rigidity in polirics, poor health outcomes, and lack of social mobility.  Spiritual decay is usually a result, not a cause, of empire decline.  Complacency is also a result, not a cause of decline.  Corruption increases in high military spending states, hence the worst mortgage abuses leading up to the Great Recession were in high military spending states like California, Texas, Florida, Arizona, and Connecticut.

Conclusions

The total victory concept of the world wars gradually over time became embedded by America’s most military oriented political party.  Among low information voters this party stood for many American values that it did not follow.  Among the endless hypocrisies and lies were notions of support for the constitution, small business, and local government.  The term fake news was invented to justify contradictions that were in fact lies.  More government and more debt were justified by more lies.  Lack of job creation in 2017 compared to the last six years before was justified by ever lowering unemployment rates as part of a long trend started by a predecessor.  Hoover tariff strategy that gave us the Great Depression were championed as good bargaining.  Draining the swamp was shown to be a hollow slogan as the president made deals to benefit himself and his family at the expense of foreign policy, and his cabinet followed his own corrupt lead.  Putin criticism was put off limits to maintain his ties to his benefactor.  American institutions like the press, FBI and justice were disregarded when inconvenient or worse, vilified.

The rise of Trump represents the lack of all compromise with the left and the lack of any pretense about what motivates the new media created right wing mentality.  A nation of laws has been replaced with a cult of personality with endless attacks on all enemies.  Trump admires dictators and belittles democracies, just like an emperor.

How the principles of empire affect us all:

https://www.academia.edu/11421799/MILITARISM_CONTROL_Empire_Social_Decay_WWW_97_6p

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, July 8), “How Right Wing Changed USA”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/How-Right-Wing-Changed-USA,2018159439.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Plot to Destroy Democracy

The Plot to Destroy Democracy by Malcolm Nance has just come out giving the history of the Russian strategy to dismantle alliances, trade treaties, and the US government.  Nance alleges all of Trumps pro-Russian stances emerged from a two hour meeting with the richest oligarchs in Russia in 2013 when he was in Russia for his Miss Universe pageant.  He further alleges that Trump is easily impressed by those he talks to like this.  For instance, notice how he adopted Kim’s terminology of provocative war-games when he abandoned joint exercises with South Korea unilaterally after the Singapore meeting with the North Korean leader.  Steve Bannon’s “dismantle the administrative state” includes cutting one third of the state department staff.  All of this is a dream come true to Vladimir Putin.  Trump has questioned the Russian sanctions, pointing out that the annexed Ukraine territory are all Russian speaking peoples.  Trump has argued that the Russians could help against ISIS in Syria, despite evidence that Russian attacks there are almost exclusively against the moderate opposition to the Assad regime.  Assad has killed hundreds of thousands of unarmed at first civilians that at one time were peacefully protesting.  Trump does not oppose this, unless chemical weapons are involved.

Dictator’s Playbook

In January 2018 the New York Times reported that Trump lied 2000 times but still does not call him a liar in most coverage.  In May 2018 the Washington Post extended their own list of Trump lies to 3000.  Trump’s answer is to call the mainstream press “enemies of the people” and urges his supporters to confront them.  He repeatedly refers them as “fake news”.  Fox News and especially Sean Hannity have become state TV for the president.  Sean Hannity and the morning show “Fox and Friends” keep giving Trump ideas publically and in daily private phone calls with Sean Hannity.  Founding figures and former presidents like Thomas Jefferson and James Monroe considered a free press more vital to democracy than even elections.  A new Axios poll asks “How often do you think news sources report news they know to be fake, false, or purposely misleading?” and shows that 92% of Republicans answer this question either “a lot” or “sometimes” and 7% answer rarely or never.  For Democrats the answers are 53% to 46%.  In both cases Fox News may be a source of fake news as seen by the Democrats or has convinced Republicans, combined with the presidents tweets and statements, that the mainstream press distorts the truth.  Either way, repetition is the way to use lies to overwhelm the timidly presented truth, hence the mainstream press tendency to normalize the president’s extreme behavior is weakening democracy, to Putin’s delight.

History of Distraction

The presidential spokesperson Kellyanne Conway keeps referring to “alternative facts” to explain away the president’s lies.  Malcolm Nance calls the June 9, 2016 Trump tower Russia meeting the “dangle”, with the purpose of confirming Trump campaign interest in dirt on Hillary Clinton. Nance is convinced that Trump junior told Trump senior about that meeting, and the next day Trump promises a report on Clinton dirt in an upcoming speech.  When Trump later suggests some other source than the Russians for the wiki-leaks release of hacked material he is clearly being disingenuous.  Whenever Trump gets into political trouble, he blames others for the problem he created.  When he claims there is no evidence of collusion or obstruction he ignores the five guilty pleas among six advisors charged.  When he claims the Russians had no impact on the election, he ignores the 14 Russians and 3 Russian companies charged.  His Republican allies in the House echo his lines and seek to win over the public with repetition of outright lies. Republicans insist Mueller should “wrap it up” after only 397 days.  This compares to Iran Contra lasting 2420 days and Whitewater lasting 2978 days.

Conclusions

High military spending empires decay and corrode because of the drain on manufacturing in favor of service sectors like the stock market and banks.  Complacency sets in only when this process is advanced and becomes a way of life.  Corruption and crime are direct results of the high military spending.  American has had seventy years under this new empire regime and the excuses are well prepared to perpetuate the system.  It is not inevitable, it can be changed, especially if the electoral swing states of the industrial and agricultural inland states begin to recognize the exploitation of their production by the service sector financial and military coastal states at their expense.  Half of Cold War funding was taxed out of the Rust Belt to benefit the Sun Belt.  The swindle has been long in the making, starting with the 1971 Powell memo organizing business against progressivism.  Right wing institutes, like CATO ALEC and Heritage, and economic theories were funded next, then Reagan used a 1981 tax cut plan as a Trojan Horse to cut the top tax rate on the rich 60% at the expense of the middle class who were suckered in with a 15% cut.  This restored the primacy of a rich oligarchy who locked in their gains by funding the so-called “conservative party” which counterintuitively increased funding more than the other party by increasing military spending.  All this lead to draining the middle class, creating a resentment that the rich exploited to further enhance their position of power and control.  Soon the middle class started resorting to borrowing to maintain their standard of living, and the rich overworked them to keep them distracted from what the rich were doing to them.  So empire deepened, entertainment expanded to further distract the middle class and scapegoats were invented to divide the middle class. Bread and Circuses. Lords and Serfs. Fear to keep people in their place.  And along comes Trump to take advantage of it all.  Putin’s Apprentice.

How the principles of democracy were overridden:

https://www.academia.edu/36069836/_Constitutional_Implications_of_War_February_2018_3p

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, July 3), “Plot to Destroy Democracy”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Plot-to-Destroy-Democracy.2018159293.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Conspiracy Theory Diversion

“Conspiracy Theories” are often looked down on as crazy ideas, like the alleged sex ring operated out of a pizza shop by Hillary Clinton in October 2016.  But the spy business, like the CIA and others, often uses the term to cover up their various misdeeds.  Tricks of the trade like “cut-outs” are used to disguise the identity of the real people or agencies behind a given plot.  “Cut-outs” are go-betweens, like when a drug lord gets kids to deliver the actual contraband.  Labeling something a “conspiracy theory” operates kind of like that, it seeks to divert attention away from the actual facts and circumstances of an operation and return people’s focus back to the original whitewash story or cover story used to explain what is going on.  Members of the press and academics are then shamed, ridiculed, or coerced to stick to the original cover story, no matter how ludicrous.  This collective pressure to maintain the story is often the price demanded to be accepted by polite society.  There have been so many misdeeds done by our intelligence agencies over the years that:  it is not uncommon when you are hearing someone explain their new book or new research and you ask them a question about another so-called “conspiracy theory” they often demur and refuse to endorse some other proposition they have not personally investigated.  So “conspiracy theory” is the taboo put on any line of investigation that does not meet official mainstream approval.  Considerable evidence exists to confirm the continuing existence of the CIA Operation Mockingbird control of certain parameters of mainstream press stories.  Even the best journalists, like Amy Goodman and Rachel Maddow, who courageously expose many government misdeeds are often persuaded to adhere to certain guidelines.

Destabilizing Governments

The CIA proudly tells how they staved off France and Italy from going communist after World War II.  They also undermined the democratically elected Mosaddeq government in Iran in August 1953 and replaced him with the Shah, who later became famous for his SAVAK cruel police force.  This CIA-British operation lead by the grandson of President Teddy Roosevelt ultimately backfired when the Ayatollah took over in 1979.  So the CIA had plenty of experience with coup de tats when 1963 rolled around.  Anyone who watched the PBS series “I, Claudius” or had seen the Shakespearean plays “Julius Caesar” and “Macbeth” would not be surprised to find skullduggery at the top of an empire, since power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.  And anyone who has read the “Path to Power” book by Robert Caro about Lyndon Johnson would realize that nothing would stop him from rising as far as he possible could by any means necessary.  The movie “JFK” is documented extensively in a research footnoted script companion book, including things like keeping the 3000 man Sam Houston Brigade off the streets of Dallas the day of the assassination.  Mob influenced Jack Ruby can silence Oswald, but only the government can change the parade overnight, slow the car down to ten miles per hour, take troops off the streets, and other set-ups.  The CIA needed a spy network in the Soviet Union after 1945 and accepted many former Nazi spies out of necessity.  The CIA has often worked with the mob and drug lords as well:  these kinds of compromises come at a high cost.

Confusion Helps the Whitewash

Many CIA tactics perfected in the 1950s have endured down through the decades, and the prohibition of interfering domestically by the CIA has often been ignored in practice, while being adhered to in lip service.  Setting up Red Herrings to take the fall or responsibility for any given act is a cherished CIA tactic.  Lee Harvey Oswald is a good example.  Someone with a mustache in Mexico City is shown in one photograph outside the Cuban Embassy.  Supposedly that person was Lee Harvey Oswald.  Later, a reluctant Earl Warren is arm twisted to chair the Commission on President Kennedy’s death.  Lyndon Johnson cites evidence tracing Lee Harvey Oswald links back to the Soviets and or the Cubans and says to Warren, “do you want a nuclear war?”  So the ruse works with just enough manufactured evidence to suggest that possibility.  Of course this is ludicrous, when you know that Khrushchev cried when he heard Kennedy died because both Kennedy and Khrushchev knew that the world had come too close to oblivion in the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.  They agreed to the 1963 atmospheric test ban treaty and were preparing to work on mutual disarmament in Kennedy’s second term.  Kennedy on September 8th, 1963 issued an executive order beginning withdrawal from Vietnam that Christmas.  That and dismantling CIA covert operations in a second term were a combination of threats to the CIA and military industrial complex that had to be stopped.  Lyndon and Hoover agreed, and the rest is history.  Conferences of 400 Kennedy Assassination researchers were meeting each year around 1990.  Hundreds of books were being written.  So when I began to find out the truth on the twenty-fifth anniversary, 1988, watching a Geraldo Rivera show, I started to read books.  Except for the pro-CIA books like “Case Closed” by Gerald Posner, or later the Vince Bugliosi book, all the other five or six bookstore available books I purchased and read seemed to fit together, explaining various parts of the story.  The only major confusion came from the Posner book who in the words of a lawyer friend who retraced my journey and more, is nothing but a lot of newspaper articles with no real evidence.  The Bugliosi book is based on various tests that allegedly confirm the Oswald story, despite the numerous and endless contradictions of that narrative.  When Oswald said in the Saturday night new conference that he was a “patsy” that film clip shows how shook-up he was when he was asked if he killed President Kennedy.  Up until that time he was only questioned about Officer Tippett.  How could he be observed in a third floor lunch room 90 seconds after the murder by a policeman and not be out of breath from descending three flights of stairs and running across the sixth floor to the stairs?  How could he casually “escape” by going out the front door and waiting patiently at the nearby bus stop and taking a bus?  Evidence suggests the real shooter escaped out the back way with a get-away car waiting for him.  The photo of Oswald with a gun and newspaper is of a 6’3” man not the 5’8” Oswald, with Oswald’s face put on the other man with obvious shading contradictions.  Then there’s the nine one hour episodes of the Arts and Entertainment Network exploding one myth after another, from the Dallas doctors to the phony DC autopsy, the colorized Judy Mormon photo of the muzzle flash shot by a blue uniformed man behind the picket fence on the grassy knoll, that 26 eye witnesses saw some part of, that grassy knoll throat and fatal head shot.  Six shots by three shooters from three locations are carefully documented by one of the one hour specials.  The Oswald double is discussed in another.  Hiring from Marseille, Lucien Sate the main shooter behind the picket fence, was known for his dum-dum bullets and crazy risk taking that cost him his life nine years later in 1972.  In Dallas, near the Texas School Book Depository, is located a bookstore with all kinds of crazy conspiracy books, books I have never seen in any ordinary bookstore.  This only serves the purpose of confusing the issue, helping the CIA to perpetuate the whitewash.  But the real story is not how, but why.  When you study why, the combination of Kennedy haters becomes clearly defined, from Hoover to Johnson to CIA to military to the mob.  Gerald Ford served on the Warren Commission reporting back to Hoover the goings on so the cover-up included the FBI.  Hoover had blackmailed Kennedy over sex issues in 1960 to put Johnson on the ticket.  Hoover claimed there was no mafia in America because the mob blackmailed him over his homosexuality including an affair with Roy Cohn.  Bobby going after the mob only united the mob and FBI.

Tony Avirgan

The Christic Institute sent their Jesuit Priest, William J. Davis to Eugene, OR to plead their case against the CIA for bombing an Eden Pastora press conference and wounding Tony Avirgan, the legal case plaintiff.  I asked him afterwards of he thought he could get justice out of a Miami US Court.  He did think so, but I knew better.  In January 1990 I spoke in three workshops on a Peace Economy conference in St. Thomas University in Miami.  The pro military bias is so strong in the South that the local newspaper, the Miami Herald, refused to even put a small notice out on this conference even though the promoters sent fifteen press releases on the matter.  I once used the Peace Resource Handbook (5000 national peace groups circa 1980s) to show that peace groups per capita in various states was about 90% correlated with a state’s military spending per capita.  The one clear exception was the 11 former confederate states of the South, where peace groups per capita was far below the national average, just a few per state, about a hundred for the whole region.  So it was no surprise to me to later hear the judge fined the Christic Institute $1,000,000 just for filing the entirely legitimate lawsuit.  Don’t tell me the CIA can’t influence the courts. CIA stories are so crazy even judges tend not to believe them, as I witnessed in one case where even the defense attorney seemed not to believe the former CIA client on trial.  The secret society can seemingly get away with anything, except in the third world where they are “on” to the Company.  Tony Avirgan’s mother picked me up at the airport in Costa Rica for two conferences there, and at the peace center created by Quakers, I learned how Oliver North was considered a war criminal subject to arrest if he entered Costa Rica.  Fifteen congressman were threatening the Costa Rica government for upholding their laws against the likes of North and Hull.  John Hull’s ranch was where planes landed after dropping weapons to the Contras in Nicaragua.  On the back shipment crack cocaine went to South Central Los Angeles according to books by journalists Leslie Cockburn of CBS and Gary Webb of the San Jose Mercury News, among others.

Jesse Ventura

Jesse Ventura tells the story in one of his books that one month after he became governor of Minnesota in a surprise defeat of both the Democrat and the Republican, he was asked to come down to the basement of the state capital.  There he met 25 CIA people who wanted to know how he got himself elected.  He asked them as many questions as they asked him.  Later he discovered that every state cabinet in the nation has at least one CIA person.  So much for the CIA staying out of domestic affairs.

Amy Goodman

“Democracy Now” is a wonderful show, but when I asked her about the CIA and the media and Operation Mockingbird in a Madison, WI appearance, she said she had a whole chapter in her book about it.  Wrong, that chapter is all about corporate media, nothing about the CIA.  This socialist belief on the left that all things evil are capitalist rooted and separate consideration of the military industrial intelligence complex is not necessary, leads to mistakes.  Noam Chomsky still believes Vietnam would have occurred had Kennedy lived, for instance, clearly not true as the real record is intensively examined by more and more scholars.  Institutions can override, but individuals still matter.

Rachel Maddow

Rachel Maddow, Oxford Doctorate knows enough not to even suggest any legitimacy to the “9-11 Truth” movement.  Yet she dutifully reported a landing gear from an airliner stuck in the side of a building about 500 feet away from the trade towers and thirty some floors up in the air.  Samples of the rubble showed traces of a powerful CIA explosive in a peer reviewed article.  When oil pipeline talks collapsed in July 2001 with the Taliban in Afghanistan, British newspapers predicted an October US invasion. San Francisco mayor Willy Brown and Attorney General John Ashcroft were warned in advance not to fly on 9-11.  Dan Rather announced the building 7 collapse as a controlled demolition in his original live broadcast, and was gone a few years later.  Donald Trump hinted at the truth, as someone in the real estate business would know a demolition when one saw one, but so far hasn’t played that card yet.  The building 7 collapse was announced on the BBC minutes before it happened, with the actual building showing as still standing in the window over the shoulder of the woman making the announcement.

Bill Clinton

Even with 1974-75 Church congressional hearings concluding the assassination must have been a conspiracy because there were too many bullets to account for, and 85% of the public believing the Warren Commission was wrong, President Bill Clinton claimed he believed the Warren Commission.  Why?  No one wants to end up dead like the Kennedy brothers.  Sometimes you have to go along to get along.

9-11 World Reactions

Someone in my accounting office took a vacation to Brazil after 9-11, and discovered people there hated Americans.  Did she not know about the 186 US military incursions into Latin America in the twentieth century?  Yet world opinion was so sympathetic (about 85%) to the US after 9-11 that even Iran supported the Afghanistan invasion at least until they were included in the axis of evil, with Iraq and North Korea.  Funny how all three countries had switched to buying oil in Euros instead of dollars, including Iran plans for an exchange located in Tehran.  The Korea inclusion in the axis of evil killed the nuclear peace process started by Carter and Clinton in 1994.  9-11 gets complicated quickly, favoring a CIA cover-up of the real story.

These War Decision Mechanisms often parallel CIA thinking:

https://www.academia.edu/28245203/WAR_Decision_Mechanisms_7_Papers_2013-2016_8p

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, June 14), “Conspiracy Theory Diversions”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Conspiracy-Theory-Diversion,2018158596.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Media Influence by the CIA

Ever since the passage of the National Security Act of 1947, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) has conducted media influence in the United States through its “Operation Mockingbird”.  This is probably the main reason the international “Reporters Without Borders” gives a very low free press ranking among all nations, lower than other G7 nations such as Canada, Germany, Japan, France, and Britain.  Only Italy is lower probably due to the press there being owned by a recent former conservative Prime Minister.  National security issues particularly are subject to this kind of CIA influence. This is an empire story issue.

National Security Act of 1947

This Act represents a radical departure from American traditions begun by our first president George Washington and the founding figures.  The act was passed over the opposition to it by the Department of War and the Joint Chiefs of Staff.  Their opposition was based on the American tradition of maintaining a small standing army between wars and using volunteer forces to fill out the ranks during war.  Their opposition was based in part on Washington’s admonition against foreign entanglements.  Changing the name of the Department of War to the Department of Defense represents the change in attitude from that of a republic to that of a worldwide empire.  In actuality, this represented a change from defense to offense, from national border concerns to world control concerns.  Inside the CIA the change went from classic intelligence operations to also include covert overseas operations to maintain the new empire.

Commercialism and Democracy

A long running theme in American history is the foreign policy clash between pursuing commercial interests and pursuing democratic values.  In founding figure terms this was the clash between Hamilton and Jefferson.  In twentieth century terms this was the clash between business interests and worker interests in the democracies, or the clash between small business freedom Leninism and totalitarian complete state control Stalinism in the communist world.  Contradictions abound here so I hesitate to elaborate too much.

President Kennedy

Kennedy’s journey toward peace was a long and difficult one.  In between crises in the Bay of Pigs, the Berlin Wall and the Cuban Missile Crisis, back channel negotiations continued between Zorin representing the Soviet Union and McCloy representing the USA for mutual disarmament and an end to the Cold War in his second term.  His Peace Corps and Alliance for Progress used carrots instead of sticks in his diplomacy and he was determined to end covert operations in the CIA in his second term.  In a September 8th 1963 executive order he planned to begin troop pullouts from Vietnam starting in December 1963.  His treaty banning atmospheric nuclear testing was the first on many with the Soviet Union.  All of this was ended by his assassination.  Lyndon Johnson was opposed to this peace initiative and asked McCloy to break it off.  Kennedy laughed when McCloy told him this and assured him he had the full support of the president.  The CIA man Kennedy had fired was put in charge of the Warren Commission whitewash.  In the book “Brothers” Bobby Kennedy intuitively understood the forces opposed to his brother and blamed them for his brother’s death.  Jackie had the French intelligence look into the assassination and they came back with the word Lyndon Johnson was behind it.  Watergate burglar and long-time CIA operative E. Howard Hunt also confirms CIA and Johnson involvement with the plot in his death bed tape.  Tony Morales of the CIA was Johnson’s alleged coordinator for the plot and also was in the Ambassador Hotel when Bobby Kennedy was shot.  Khrushchev cried when he heard Kennedy died and lost his leadership the next year, as militarists on both sides prevailed.  The Brezhnev military buildup that ensued ultimately brought the Soviet Union down.  Likewise Vietnam brought Johnson down.  Bobby Kennedy’s election to the presidency threatened to undue Johnson’s legacy and reopen the investigation into President Kennedy’s death.  FBI director J. Edger Hoover did not have the blackmail material against Bobby that he had against John and Martin Luther King Jr.

Personal Experience

As a peace activist I have learned about CIA influence gradually over the course of my lifetime.  Initially I read Newsweek cover to cover during the Vietnam War years, and assumed their hawkish perspective even after Tet in 1968.  I also assumed military spending stimulated the economy until my exposure to Sivard’s research in 1983.  I assumed the Warren Commission was right about the Kennedy assassination until a 1988 Geraldo Rivera show began the long process of casting doubt and numerous books and academic conference presentations increasing confirmed the clear new realistic interpretation.  Then the Gulf and Iraq Wars cast increasing doubt about official positions.  Particularly the national and local peace movement discussion list-serves 2001-2005 were huge in clarifying my current understandings.  Watching Ted Koppel’s nightline July 24, 2001 confirmed one of my key suspicions.  Koppel was former Naval Intelligence, hence could get better stories with the help of Intelligence insiders and his own security clearance.  He had Bush’s deputy defense guy on Nightline; Paul Wolfowitz, who insisted nuclear missile defense is a top defense priority.  But Ted used the pentagon’s own list of ten major threats to show that terrorism was most likely (#1) and rogue nation nuclear attack was #9 and assault by another nuclear threat like Russia or China was only #10.  He could not have done this without security clearance as I found out trying to obtain a copy of this ranked list.  I had someone at the Defense Monitor guiding me through numerous phone calls in my effort, only to end up with the pentagon refusing to give me the list because it was classified.  That’s why Bob Woodward, former naval intelligence, Walter Cronkite, OSS during the war, and Ben Bradley, Washington Post Editor and former CIA, and many others like them rise to the top of the media.

Church Commission

The 1975-76 Church Commission on Intelligence Activities revealed many abuses of power by the CIA, domestic and foreign, including foreign assassinations and domestic control of the American media, including the 400 top press persons in the nation. While Woodward and Bernstein became household words for their unraveling of the Watergate scandal that brought down Nixon, Woodward’s career was soaring while Bernstein was ignored after his expose of Operation Mockingbird’s control of the American press in a 25,000 word article for Rolling Stone magazine.  This is how the CIA handles whistleblowers about its various blunders and misdeeds.  Only now, some thirty years later is Bernstein reappearing on television shows in recent years.  Gary Webb of the San Jose Mercury News “Dark Alliance” series is another treated poorly by former CIA veterans in the media.  He dared to uncover the CIA role in the crack cocaine epidemic started by Freeway Rick in Los Angeles and protected by the Drug Enforcement Administration to fund the Contra Wars in Central America in the eighties.

Recent Years

National Security continues to be a weak spot in America’s so-called free press.  Even though 15 million protested in major cities worldwide February 15th one month before the 2003 Iraq War started, this was dismissed by President Bush as a “focus group.”  I personally attended a protest of 500,000 people in the nation’s capital in September 2003 and the New York Times reported the crowd as “tens of thousands” deliberately understating the crowd size.  This happened again when 600,000 protested the Republican Convention in August 2004.  Judy Miller dutifully reported in the New York Times the exaggerations and distortions of Dick Cheney and company about the weapons of mass destruction of Iraq.  Phil Donahue was taken off the air for daring to counter these lies.  Even one year after the invasion, 90% of American troops in Iraq falsely believed Saddam Hussein was behind the 9-11-01 attacks, so carefully inserted and repeated wording by the administration had left that impression.

For a tribute to the world peace President Kennedy:

https://www.academia.edu/5184189/KENNEDY_50th_Anniversary_Tribute_12ppt.2p. 2013

President Kennedy was my mother’s third cousin.

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, May 28), “Media Influence by the CIA”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Media-Influence-by-the-CIA,2018157946.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Good Concepts 2018 Update

These ten pages of key concepts will give the reader some understanding of both my breakthrough ideas and personal background.  The first seven pages have eight power point frames each about a major concept of empire and climate theory.  The eighth page looks at ten key points about paradigm shifting revolutions, then the last two pages are biographical notes about my curriculum vitae.  The detail can be found on the academia.edu website link at the end, but the gist of each is given below:

Socioeconomic Decline of Empire

This is the best way to frame the effect of military spending on society.  It starts dragging the economy down and after a generation or so starts consuming the whole society politically, socially, economically, corrupting everything in sight.  Effects the economy immediately year by year and things like the crime and health rates over the time to raise a child.

Banks and Fascism

This side looks at the evolution of an empire and things like the imperial presidency and fascism.  The press, opportunity costs, and current history events are covered also.

Land Ocean Cycle

This powerful phenomenum emerges clearly out of a detailed analysis of the many sections of the planet as the temperature of the whole changes differently from the various parts.  There are many confirming patterns in the details beyond this simple summary.

Climate Cycle Affects Economics and War

When Nicolai Kondratieff first documented the long economic cycle of about 50 years in 1926, he thought of it as a manmade cycle.  Little did he see the relationship between the natural cycle, the economic cycle, and the war cycle.  Adherents of each type of cycle don’t seem to venture out of their silos to see how they each relate to the other.

Defense Strategy Lessons from World War II

The high cost and strategy of war are hinted at in these slides.  The concept of keeping the military low to keep the economy strong for the long run major wars every fifty years or so and the ability to mobilize over a short period of time argue for lower levels of military spending.  The defense strategy paper on academia.edu is necessary to better understand the possibilities for an effective defense recognizing the economic danger of high military spending.

Economic Model of 20th Century

The three to five major components of the long term model show how an accurate theory of economics can be built.  This is often believed impossible by many in the economic profession.  The basics are covered here, but the economic model paper on my academia.edu website is necessary for a more detailed understanding.

Birth of “Dungeons and Dragons”

These insights came from my wargaming years 1964-1974 with Gary Gygax, the inventor of Dungeons and Dragons role playing games. At the end is a comparison of Reuschlein and Gygax.

Scientific Revolution Facts

I distilled these key ideas from Thomas Kuhn’s “Structure of a Scientific Revolution” and live the adventure all the time as I endeaver to stake my claim to my own scientific discoveries.  These ten facts hit home to me the hardest.

Nine Fields of Knowledge Create Ideas

Here is a two page version of my curriculum vitae, with the important addition of nine fields of knowledge I found essential to the building of my theories.  Any one of them missing and I would not have succeeded.

For a basic ten pages read on my ideas and background:

https://www.academia.edu/s/979f0fe1e3/good-concepts-2018-update-ten-pages

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, May 13), “Good Concepts 2018 Update”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Good-Concepts-2018-Update,2018157444.aspx

Great Reads Make Theories

World Military and Social Expenditures (1981-1996) Ruth Leger Sivard

Sivard maintained for many years a worldwide catalogue of military education and healthcare expenditures for each of the 191 countries.  One year she catalogued the deaths from each war in the twentieth century, mainly the 77 million in the two world wars, but also the many third world proxy wars costing tens of millions of lives during the Cold War.  From my point of view, her multi-decade bar charts of the G7 and leading economies of world showing how as military spending increases capital investment and manufacturing productivity decrease.

Climate and Life (1983) Steven Schneider

This is a fascinating account of the rise of life on planet Earth over 4.5 billion years. How volcanoes gave the early Earth water for the oceans and carbon dioxide for the atmosphere, the two key ingredients for plant life.  How for the first 2.2 billion years of 3.8 billion years of life, life existed without the benefit of even a cell wall in the primordial sea.  Here I learned in a paragraph the importance of evaporation as the main first use of solar energy (85%) and the main difference in heating rates of land and ocean. This leads to all that follows in my discovery of the natural global warming cycle origins of the Kondratieff Wave.  The book is an impressive tour de force by a leading climate scientist and journal editor.

Spirit Level (UK 2010 US 2011) Richard Wilkinson and Kate Puckett

These authors document the extensive relationship between social disfunction and rising income inequality.  Human beings, as social animals, do not relate well to a sharp rich poor divide.  Indeed, this may well have been the central message of Jesus of Nazareth.  Society operates better as equals than as lords and serfs.  The lack of social mobility, crime, and poor health are all functions of the Genie coefficient.  Also, anxiety levels continue to escalate over recent decades in America.

Guns, Germs, and Steel:  the Fate of Human Societies (1997) Jared Diamond

Diamond documents the emergence of Western civilization in a scientific non-racist way.  He notes the importance of large mammals to domesticate as a key.  No region of the world has more than one or two such animals except for the fertile crescent.  The cow goat sheep pig combination of four allowed mankind to inoculate from disease becoming hardier.  Later the separation into many nations allowed Europe to learn from others nation’s mistakes and successes, speeding development.

Long Cycles (1987) Joshua S. Goldstein

This political scientist at MIT was no doubt influenced by J. W. Forrester’s long cycle work in the business school.  Forrester founded system dynamics.  Goldstein tracks European war deaths as a percentage of the European population for each war since year 1500.  This five hundred year study clearly shows a robust 50 some year cycle in major wars.  I find a clear 54 year cycle in the start date of these major wars by my own analysis.

Statistical Abstract of the United States (1899-2012)

My favorite here is the Bicentennial Edition showing a continuous record of economic data from 1889 to 1975, free from the obvious political bias of the individual year publications under various presidencies.  The rich variety and inherent accuracy of these records are confirmed by their use in my stunningly accurate economic model from 1920 to 1996 of the United States. Crime records and state by state military spending records are invaluable.  That this has been discontinued is a terrible shame.

Trends 90 (1990) Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center

This compendium of temperature records for various sections of the planet allows for the necessary data to document my natural cycle theory on several levels.  The key for me was graphing the difference between the annual warming records over the last century and a half of the Northern versus Southern Hemispheres.  This is a good proxy for the land versus the ocean.  The dominant Southern Hemisphere for the sixty years 1860 to 1920 and the subsequent Northern Hemisphere dominance of 48 years from 1921 to 1968 show the 108 year cycle that colors the successive 54 year cycles.  Now we are in a new Southern Hemisphere dominant cycle from 1969 to 2028.

1984 (1948) George Orwell

Orwell correctly anticipated the war is peace double speak of the Ronald Reagan re-election bid in 1984.  He saw how the Cold War was beginning to color our dialogue after World War Two.  He anticipated the tortured language and justifications of empire as power transferred from the British Empire to the American Century (a euphemism for American Empire).  Wars in this period of time are repeatedly justified with language later shown to be false and misleading, just aa in this great work by a great author.  Having read this book in the sixties, I later re-read it in 1984 and noted how well it described that year’s dominant politics.

The Gospels of the Bible (Matthew, Mark, Luke, John)

The Sermon on the mount in Matthew’s chapter four states that the peacemakers shall inherit the earth.  Indeed, this is the fundamental truth of Peace Economics.  Low military spending nations grow their economies faster than high military spending nations, eventually becoming dominant. Those nations who live by the sword die by the sword just as the gospels say.  As you sow, so shall you reap, and pride cometh before a fall also ring true in my Peace Economics research.

For a basic seven pages read on my ideas and background:

https://www.academia.edu/33884446/Main_Ideas_Summary_July_2017_7_pages

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, May 6), “Great Reads Make Theories”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Great-Reads-Make-Theories,2018157177.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted 2016, Given Odds 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Post Navigation