bobreuschlein

Military Empire and Climate Cycle Views

Archive for the category “Economics of Empire”

Tracking My Nobel Trackers

Introduction

            ExpertClick.com was recommended to me by a book and allows experts like me to reach over 7000 press people with my press releases since October 2013.  This vehicle has led to my first two Nobel Peace Prize nominations in January 2016.  Although I encouraged the Nobel people to look at my books and other websites like academia.com and wordpress.com, they persist in examining my press releases where I have had over 430,000 views in ten plus years.  This allows me to show how my two scientific breakthroughs (economics and climate cycle) change the way we understand our world.   ExpertClick lets me update views daily on the 50 most current releases and the 232 older releases twice a year.  These websites reveal the patterns used by the trackers to follow me.  

The Start

            My January 2016 press release asked for Nobel Peace Prize nominations for the Norwegian Nobel Committee and an old political friend complied.  Thinking that there were many single nominations but only a few with multiple nominations, I asked another friend to nominate me.  It worked.  The first day after nominations closed 50 ones lit up the expert click website between 7am and 9am Norway time.  My jaw hit the floor.  Reading my last 50 press releases is a serious investigation.

Nobel Peace Prize Watch 3-10-16 Thursday morning

Another very unusual thing happened on my WordPress.com website.  Just before 7am French time, someone from France looked at my wordpress website and archives 22 times, very close to the single day record of 26 views.  After going to the site, that meant 21 looks at the archives.  That takes it back to July 2014, when I published “Proof of Peace Economics” one of three that month in my “top seven most viewed press releases of all time.”  Not only is the Nobel Peace Prize mentioned in that release, but all the main evidence for the singular result that military spending does not move the economy forward but only keeps the economy in place.  That seems to be the perfect place to stop the search backward.   

One of the five members of the Norwegian Nobel Committee was a former prime minister of Norway and a Social Democrat.  He was currently serving as Secretary General of the Council of Europe, based in Strasbourg, France, in the Alsace Lorraine area across the Rhine from Germany.  His name was Thorbjørn Jagland.  He would be interested in my Peace Economics as he majored in economics in college.

The Data

            Nothing else was notable that first year, with the Nobel announcements starting the first Monday in October ending with the peace prize announced on Friday.  My tracking the trackers began with “ten in a row” days per month.  These were rare in 2014 and 2015.  From April 2015 to January 2016, the ten months before my first nomination, were 3 days or less each.  The first five months after nomination were between 8 and 5.  From July 2016 to December 10 in rows were 20 to 31 days every month and averaged 25 days a month during 2017 and 2018.

25 In a Row Days

            These increase dramatically the first four years of nomination.  One in 2016, five in 2017 (3 just before the award and 2 the next month), 68 in 2018, 108 in 2019 (86 in the six months before the 2019 award).

The Four Trackers

            First is Thorbjorn Jagland with an apparent search for more votes in the 12 days before 2017 award.  Jagland seemingly pushes hard before he retires after the 2019 award.

            Second is the distinguished looking gentleman, fifties with grey hair and a grey suit, driving a blue Prius, who showed up about 3pm or so on 9-19-2019.  He walked up the neighbor’s driveway as I was at my front door and we stared at each other through the boundary tree line.  I think we understood each other.  He was probably a UW Madison professor checking out my place with the Oxford like stone and the 90-foot driveway.  He probably recognized me from pictures.

            Third is the woman professor who lives in Paris but was in Warsaw when I emailed the first pdf edition of my new book “Weather Wealth & Wars” to the committee on 8-1-21.

            Fourth is the professor from Brisbane, Australia who sent a message on one of my websites.  I will keep his name private.  His 5pm is her 9am.  Very little overlap, seven days a week.

50 In Row Days

            There are only six of these in the expertclick.com record.  The first is the first day of the first nomination, 9am Norway time.  That was followed one month later, on 3-10-16, with the 22 French wordpress.com visits that gives away the Jagland involvement as explained above.

            The second year, 2017, Jagland may be trying to rally other committee members to my side in the last 12 days with three 24 in rows, followed by his two retrospective expert looks on 11-10-17 where he looks at the wordpress.com site 5 times from his home in Germany and 2 times from his office in Strassburg, France.

            The second 50 in row comes 3-18-18.  Jagland has seven German visits to wordpress.com that year, two 1-19-18, three 3-13-18, and two 10-14-18 while ten in rows are high all year long.

            The third 50 in row comes 12-28-19 after a strong lead into the award with 89 25 in rows from April to the October award day.  The fifty in December seems a preparation for the 2020 year.

            The 2020 year seems to be a pause year about 60% of the level of the next three years (2021-23) probably because of the transition from retiring Jagland to the new member of the Peace committee and pressure from the Peace and Justice Studies Association leadership to limit my releases to one a month.

            The fourth 50 in row comes 7-14-21 followed by my book 8-1-21. 

            The fifth 50 in row comes 8-17-23.  On 6-9-23 a very high number of 37 views each for five releases suggests a large group of researchers are looking me over together.  Could this be my year near the top?

            The sixth 50 in a row comes 2-27-24.  January 2024 and February 2024 are the two highest view counts since the book came out in August 2021.

Why Now?

            It sometimes takes decades to win a Nobel.  I’m in a special category, a scientist, like when Gore won for his global warming movie.  I’ve been talking about 2024 and 2025 for decades.  Major wars like Ukraine and Gaza have strong echoes about 54 or 108 years ago.  And the 2020 pandemic 102 years after the 1918 Spanish Flu.  See my releases 1-19-24 and 2-12-24 in the two biggest viewing months in a couple years.  The scientific breakthroughs with military spending (1985) and the global warming cycle (1991) are worthy of three Nobel Prizes:  Peace for exposing the military economics contradictions and predictions, Physics for the Earth Cycle, and Macroeconomics.

Current Comment

            Build a better mousetrap and the world will beat a path to your door.  Not without the marketing, not without social scientists attacking you for being an engineer.  90% of all people are number phobic, I’m with the 10% who love numbers.  Word people often treat me unfairly and underestimate me.  Being a mathematical genius can be hard, just ask Oppenheimer (or Thomas Kuhn).   

Biography, 23 Pages:

https://www.academia.edu/31102462/BIOGRAPHY_for_Nobel_Peace_Prize_2013_2017_23_p

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2024, April 3), “Tracking My Nobel Trackers” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Tracking-My-Nobel-Trackers,2024303414.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2024 with growing interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 to 349 by the October 6th, 2023 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

Domestic Chaos from Empire

Introduction

            High Military Spending is the measuring stick of Empire for my research purposes.  I use the terms interchangeably.  Mainstream economists do not recognize that the different uses of the major resources of capital and research make a profound difference in opportunity cost.   Putting those key assets into the military takes them out of the main engine of economic growth, the productivity of the manufacturing sector.  Historical records clearly show economic growth suffers in direct proportion to the size of the military economy.  Military spending in bulk can have deficit spending stimulus effects like other government spending but lacks the special boost from productive assets found in private sector manufacturing.  Military spending mimics manufacturing, without the productivity normally associated with increased economic growth. 

Domestic Chaos of Empire

            The stagnant economy of military spending leads to many social and domestic problems.  I characterize this as the social decay of empire.  Homicides are one of the clearest signs of empire in that they represent the clearest domestic example, with elements of violent training, economics, and demonization contributing to a very strong correlation.  Economic social mobility is lower in an empire society and income inequality grows in an empire society.  The political process is captured and dominated by those connected to the power center of the military budget.  Authoritarian tendencies are enhanced by empire and democracy is weakened over time.  Rome started out a republic and ended up a dictatorship.  In America we have a rising imperial presidency.   Rigidities grow and freedoms shrink.  When legitimate options shrink, chaos and lotteries are there for desperate people.  Empire is hard on a peoples’ health, with high rates of infant mortality, teen births, diabetes, drug use, and mental health.

Summary

            One atmospheric issue from last month is the great shift from Southern Hemisphere led global warming to a Northern Hemisphere led global warming.  Each of these periods has a 54-year cycle that peaks in the middle of the cycle period.  Last time the North temperature peaked in 1944, halfway between 1921-1968, and the South peaked in 1998, halfway between 1969-2028.  Note that the North (land based) period is 48 years and the South (ocean based) period is 60 years.  Note also that the peak temperature years are a perfect 54 years apart.  Note that the last land period ended in 1968 with a peak in world tensions in 1968 with riots in France and Chicago and the Tet offensive in Vietnam.  2021 wealth peaks, war tension peaks 2024, with lower relative temperature in 2025.  The empire tensions meet the climate tensions right now.  Ukraine, Israel, and Covid are all signs of the times.

Wide Variety of Social Effects of Empire:

https://www.academia.edu/11421799/MILITARISM_CONTROL_Empire_Social_Decay_WWW_97_6p

Homicides:

https://www.academia.edu/4862977/CRIME_and_the_Military_1989_1999_3p_1999

One Page Summary Economic Correlations:

https://www.academia.edu/4044456/SUMMARY_Military_DisEconomics_Accuracy13_1p_13

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2024, February 12), “Domestic Chaos from Empire” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Domestic-Chaos-from-Empire,2024302365.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2024 with growing interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 to 349 by the October 6th, 2023 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

Why World Chaos Comes Now

Summary

            Most solar radiation that hits the surface of Earth evaporates water.  Because water over land is sporadic compared to the ocean, land warms up faster than ocean creating an energy imbalance.  That causes a great 54-year world temperature cycle.  The solution to all such differential equations is sinusoidal.  The effects on mankind of this cycle are profound in terms of economics and politics, ultimately leading to the chaotic world we have today.  The next five sections explain these phenomena. 

Solar Radiation 1

            The planet’s continental lands warm up three times as fast as the oceans do.  Why?  Water is so easily available and so volatile that 67% of solar radiation (73% over land by my own original estimate) promptly vaporizes any water it hits.  We are the water planet, with oceans covering 71% of the earth’s surface, and water everywhere over land.  Humans are 69% water and plants are 90% water, with ponds streams lakes rivers and morning dew everywhere.  Steven Schneider’s book “Climate and Life” 1983 stated that evaporation is 85% overall and 90% over ocean.

Energy Balance 2

            Water vapor consumes most solar radiation, with the residual warming the planet.  Obviously, this leads to much higher warming over land than over water.  This obviously creates a growing energy imbalance over time.  Why has this been ignored by researchers up until me is probably because the long-term resolution of the fifty-four-year cycle is ignored in favor of shorter-term analysis.  Anti-cycle prejudice is everywhere among researchers.  This academic prejudice is despite many obvious cycles especially daily, seasonally, ice ages.  Examples include sunrise and sunset times, the tides, seasonal changes.

Long Cycle Research 3

            Western researchers have long been skeptical about the 1926 book of Lenin’s Finance Minister Nicolai Kondratiev, who Stalin murdered in 1938, stopping work on five new books.  But the Kondratiev Wave is generally considered economic research, ignoring extensive weather data and Goldstein (1987) on European Wars.  The trick is to explain how the climate cycle creates the economic cycle and those two cycles create the major war cycle.  Those connections took a lot of thinking and testing to arrive at.

Connection 4

            How the climate cycle leads to the economic cycle is because high heat hurts worker productivity.  One study shows workers lose 35% of their productivity at 95 degrees Fahrenheit.  Many product producing industries suffer from high heat conditions in factories, construction, mining, and agriculture, the same basic industries that move the economy forward, including the crucial capital investment industries.  Thus the 27-year warming part of the cycle reduces economic growth and the 27-year cooling cycle boosts economic growth.  Together they make the 54-year cycle.

            Because of rising tensions from increasing national economic disparities during the high growth phase of the long-term economy, medium size wars tend to occur halfway through the growth phase, and major wars tend to occur about three years after the end of the growth phase.  The end of the growth phase has both maximized national economic differences creating tensions and maximized capital accumulation creating an exaggerated sense of power.  Wars then tend to confirm who is top dog and who is not.  Leaders seek wars to make them great historical figures.

            The third connection is directly between climate change and wars.  A two- or three-year cooling period leads into six of the seven major wars between 1860 and 1970.  Statistically, this is clear cut, why is less clear cut.  Volcanoes with enough Sulfur content cause two or three cooling years in a row and polar vortexes are sometimes indicative.  One mass murderer attacked during the coldest days of a period.  We have the phrase cold blooded murder.  Atmospherics can contribute to war.

Turbulence 5

            The rising trends of our times include linearly rising anxiety since World War Two (linear not cyclical).  The pandemic and rising fascism around the world may be cyclical, reminiscent of two cycles ago, 108 years ago.  The Spanish Flu started in 1917 and Covid in 2019, 102 years apart and The Italian Fascist Party started in 1922, 102 years ago this year.  The rise of China has been a persistent problem for decades and has led to the recent militarism and threats to Taiwan.  The war in Ukraine is 108 years after World War One (1914-2022).  The war in Israel is 56 years after the Six Day War (1967-2023) and 50 years after the Yom Kipper War (1973-2023).  The current economic growth period was 1994-2021.  The two prior economic growth periods were 1886-1913 before the World War and 1940-1967 during the Cold War (Korea 1950 and Vietnam 1965).   The coldest February of the twentieth century was February 2004 when the Russian Japanese War started and the coldest Spring of the twentieth century was the three-month period March April May 1917 with America declaring war in April 2017.  All these combined pressures and 1200 years of modern European (500 years) American (200 years) and ancient Rome wars (500 years) indicate that 2024 is the average war year projection (17 wars).  But 6 of those 17 major wars project to the 2025 modal (most frequent) year.

List of 56 Cycle Events:

https://www.academia.edu/4101856/EVENTS_Weather_Economy_War_List56_54yearCycle_3p_13

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2024, January 19), “Why World Chaos Comes Now” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Why-World-Chaos-Comes-Now,2024301864.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2024 with growing interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 to 349 by the October 6th, 2023 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

Trump Physics Older Than Biden

Trump’s Physiology 6 Years Worse Than Biden’s

            Trump obesity reduces his life expectancy three years from the age only estimate of age of death to 84.  Biden regular exercise extends his age only life expectancy by about three years to an estimated date of death of age 90.   Assuming a fifty/fifty chance of dying either before or after life expectancy, that gives Trump an estimated 5/7 of 50% is a 36% chance of dying a natural death by the time of election of his successor in November 2028.  Biden, on the other hand, has a 5/10 of 50% or 25% chance of dying a natural death by the time of election of his successor in November 2028.  If you look at only the second term (four years), it is Trump 29% to Biden 20%. 

            Trump’s obesity turns his chronological age of 77 into a physiological age of 80. 

            Biden’s regular exercise turns his chronological age of 80 into a physiological age of 77.

Appearances

            Trump looks like a football lineman while Biden looks like a tennis player.   Life expectancy for football players is 55 to 59, while life expectancy for tennis players is 80.  Trump is loud and outspoken while Biden is soft spoken and professorial.  Trump is performance art with little to show for results, Biden is clearly showing the great results of his fifty years of government experience.  But thanks to endless repetition of the word “senile” with little or no evidence, FOX news and talk radio have used coordinated daily talking points to fool the less educated voter about Biden.  When White House staffer Amarosa compared TV show Trump 2003 to presidential Trump 2017, she saw noticeable mental decline.  Trump exudes energy while Biden looks thin and frail.  Each has some stumbles and word slurs.  Trump is hot while Biden is cool.  Trump is one-sided while Biden has achieved several bipartisan deals on infrastructure, gun control, chip manufacture, and other   matters in summer 2022.  Trump never works with Democrats the way Reagan or Bush did.  What do you want, retribution or results?  Bombastic “perfection” or quiet determination?

Economics

            Trump claims the best economics ever, yet if you compare pre-pandemic results, the last three years of Obama had 25% more annual job growth than the first three years of Trump.  The Dow rose about 11,000 under Trump with a trillion-dollar tax cut 85% for the rich.   Biden’s 4,000

Dow increase comes with a more middle-class approach.  The National debt went up 8 trillion under Trump and 3 trillion under Biden, roughly proportional to the respective Dow increases.     

Compression

            Reagan’s 60% cut of the top tax rate in 1981-1983 propelled the top 1% into quadrupling their income by 2007, and even higher since then.  Thanks to similar anti-union Reagan policies, the bottom 99% have been frozen in place in real terms ever since, creating a lord and serf economy like that of the stagnant Middle Ages.  The oligarchs and their Republican allies have used a divide and conquer strategy to focus middle class frustration on immigrants, blacks, and affirmative action, pretending that spending on the middle class must be cut to balance things, ignoring the absence of taxation of most top 50 corporations before the Biden 15% minimum tax.  Rebalancing the tax structure to a high tax rate on the rich is the only way to pay off the national debt without depriving the middle class the way Republicans want to do.

Ukraine War

            If you want Ukraine to survive the Russian onslaught, Biden must be allowed to finish his masterful foreign policy effort.  If you want to help Putin complete his genocide of Ukraine, just put Putin’s best friend Trump back in the presidency.  Trump destroyed Afghanistan by excluding from the table the Afghan government when he negotiated turning over the country to the Taliban.  The same Kurds that helped destroy ISIS were turned over to Turkey by Trump’s trip wire troop withdrawal.  10,000 Kurds were slaughtered.  Trump would pull out of NATO and let Ukraine die.  Trump believes in loyalty and is eternally grateful that the illegal Russian aid put him over the top against Hillary.  Biden’s age also means extraordinary foreign policy knowledge and skill.

Ukraine War Map and Game:

https://www.academia.edu/85642103/UkraineGame

If you do not give a hoot about this game, download the Ukraine map-board for help following the news.

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2023, September 22), “Trump Physics Older Than Biden” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Trump-Physics-Older-Than-Biden,2023298892.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2023 with accelerating interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 to 349 by the October 6th, 2023 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

“Peace Economics” Deniers

Military Industrial Complex

Those in the military industrial complex are confident that they provide jobs and income to communities where the military money is spent.  But they are blind to the simultaneous loss of jobs and income in the civilian manufacturing sector.  This second point is why the economy suffers in a military buildup.  The manufacturing sector is the normal main driving factor in economic growth.  The technology sector leads innovation and productivity, often expressed through new or improved products that come out of the manufacturing sector.  Engineering, science, and capital are used in huge amounts in manufacturing, often considered the economic base of the economy.  It is a mistake to look only at the money involved when the important factors are the activities of the people involved, which I consider the real economy.  Money is a measuring stick only, not to be confused with the real economy.  Say’s law is a concept sympathetic to these findings, but largely abandoned by so-called mainstream economists.  I consider mainstream economists “flat earth” economists with a very stilted narrow financial approach incapable of understanding important engineering concepts like sinusoidal waves and systems dynamics.  My dad, a lifetime CPA accountant, part of the “flat earth” world, never understood me when I talked science.

Military Issues

Back in 2013, just as I was starting this ten-year campaign of press releases through expertclick.com, a pattern of three or four looks from certain obvious locations, revealed interest in my work.  The CIA was interested in my military spending work and the pentagon was interested in my climate cycle work.  Why?  Because the military knows climate change will lead to wars and the CIA routinely calculates national military budgets worldwide.  Then google started watching my work over 50 times in the next few years.

Back in 1989, an Oregon state legislator warned me to “watch my back” because the military might go after me.  In extreme cases they could run me off the road when I was biking, but I think they prefer to undermine me and discredit me instead.   Two county commissioners, Jerry Rust and Harold Bock showed huge interest in my work.  An Oregon State Senator, when I signed up to testify first in a hearing, was told I would be called on last.  Then he ended the hearing before I could testify.  He feared my testimony would turn off some support for the bill.  Later I did testify in another session and the Senator wanted more testimony but I had moved back to Wisconsin by then in 1993.  Moving to Wisconsin was a mistake.  Socialists in Madison abused me mercilessly because of my business background, I had lots of respect in Eugene Oregon 1980-1993, including the socialists.

Economic Issues

            In 1991, I explained how manufacturing productivity, which includes weapons manufacturing productivity, is still inversely related to military spending.  That’s because the military is like a factory, with the assembly line equipment produced for the “military factory” by the defense contractor “outsiders”.  A Colorado academic wanted me to write him an article, but I didn’t know how to write an academic article back then and I was reluctant to give my rights away on a billion dollar idea.  The Phillips Curve idea I learned in 1968 in my first economics class was that unemployment and inflation were inversely related.  Because the Kondratiev Wave was ignored by mainstream economists they failed to understand how Phillips was right after all, that unemployment and inflation were still inversely related, but the total fluctuates over the 54 years, which fooled them into rejecting the theory.  “Flat earth” thinking blocked progress once again.

Climate Issues

If you dare to challenge global warming orthodoxy, the goon squad will attack you rather than hear you out.  Or they will look at you funny then ignore you.  When I joined Oregon Mensa in 1977, I found a community that you can talk to without getting the blank stares.  How refreshing.  Unfortunately, the blank stares from academics have returned the last thirty years, with notable exceptions.  The basic rule is that presentations of 15 minutes produces excitement only, while 45 minutes to an hour produces understanding. 

Michael Mann, the darling of climate scientists is famous for his hockey stick.  But the hockey stick is inaccurate, ignoring the fact that the earth was hotter 1000 years ago when farming occurred on Greenland.  In fairness to Mann, Mann’s data is thin going back more than 500 years.  Just watch them squirm pretending regions vary enough to explain Greenland farming during the Middle Age warming.  They have not meticulously examined 14 global temperature patterns from “Trends 90” as I have, learning the “systems dynamics” of the earth.  My conflict simulations and engineering backgrounds are excellent experiences in solving “big picture” puzzles.  I recognize hot facts and use them.

Summary

I did my dissertation on Peace Studies Programs.  90% of all people have number-phobia.  I am in love with numbers, I was one person in 3000 when I won the statewide math contest in high school.  I went on to join four honor societies while earning a degree from the third ranked Electrical Engineering program in America.  That program was considered the toughest four-year program at UW Madison at the time.  The Peace and Justice Studies Association is loaded with bureaucrats devoted more to nonviolence, social movements, and foreign relations, more Justice than peace.  The bright ones get it, but the blank stare types have tried to restrict my postings on the discussion list.  They have all but abandoned studying war and peace the way national security types and wargamers like me do.  “Real Peace” may be the title of the organization I might form to fill the void.  “Peace Economics” Deniers generally lack the acute math and science background I do.  They often just do not understand me. 

Peace Economics 60 Year Model:

https://www.academia.edu/7632773/PROOF_of_Peace_Economics_11_pages_1986

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2023, September 7), “ ‘Peace Economics’ Deniers” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/”Peace-Economics”-Deniers,2023298456.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2023 with accelerating interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 to 349 by the October 6th, 2023 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

Freedom and Authenticity

Presentation, Freedom and Authenticity Conference,

University of Poland, 8-24-23

“Freedom and Authenticity:  Economic Engineering Explains Empire State in the United States” Professor Robert Reuschlein, CPA, MBA, EE (UW Madison), Ed.D. (Edgewood College)

http://www.realeconomy.com.

Freedom and Authenticity

            The concepts of freedom and authenticity relate to this presentation in the following way:

            Reflects the freedom to configure a new macro economic model, based on engineering and physics, not on a social science, like economics.  When this new model is applied to raw data it proves stunningly accurate.  I was an independent scholar, free from institutional pressures to narrow and limit my focus in one academic silo.

            The authenticity of my nine fields of expertise, and my conflict simulation wargaming decade with the founder of Dungeons and Dragons, gave me the necessary background to make a breakthrough.  The presentation outlines how the model was constructed as well as demonstrates its applicability to real-world economic and social problems.

Peace Economics

            I invented and published “Peace Economics” (book) in 1986.  In “Peace Economics” I developed a new economic theory to replace the 1936 Keynesian model.  I used Sivard’s 1981 data on the negative impact of military spending on manufacturing, Kondratiev’s 1926 54-year cycle, and Juglar’s 1858 9-year investment cycle.  With my engineering, model building, and forecasting expertise and six months hard work with numbers I came up with a sixty-year US productivity model R=.999.  (The error rate, 1 out of a thousand, compares to the rounding error of the data.)

Global Warming Cycle

            I invented “Natural Global Warming” in 1991.  This was the result of a three-year effort to explain the origins of the 54-year cycle Kondratiev Wave.

            This began in 1988 with long term temperature and precipitation data from NOAA over 95 years.  1988, 1934, and 1936 droughts were 54 and 52 years apart.

            In 2012, after Hurricane Sandy, I found that a 55-year moving average fit the 1850-2010 global temperature record in three straight line segments; flat to 1910, 1 degree Fahrenheit per century to 1964, then 2 degrees Fahrenheit per century until 2025.  R=.997 and R=.995 in the last two segments.

Empire Theory

            Military Spending takes resources away from manufacturing slowing economic growth.

            Military Spending drives up crime rates and leads to health and inequality issues among many others that together give rise to the social decay of empire societies.  Because these various effects change when the military budget changes, this is a better theory than complacency and ethical explanations in other common empire theories.

Interdisciplinary

            Silos in academic disciplines block such discoveries as my two big theories, so the freedom of the independent scholar is necessary to make these discoveries.

            Engineering understandings like control theory and differential equations and system dynamics recognize cycles better than the widespread social science, history, and the 90% number phobic prejudice against cycles.

            Astronomy and physics recognize many cycles like day/night, seasons, and the nine-year cycle in tides (known) and rains (my discovery).  Kondratiev and Juglar are part of this tradition.

            Authenticity in my hard science background made my discoveries possible.

Friends with Alternative Visions, Gary Gygax and Robert Reuschlein:

Gary Gygax

International Federation of Wargaming 1966-74

GenCon Convention 1968-current year

Dungeons and Dragons 1974-1985

Movies

Cartoon with Al Gore

Nerd #1 Sync Magazine Poll 2002

Robert Reuschlein

International Federation of Wargaming 1966-1974

Democratic Party of Oregon 1980-1993 (Executive Committee, Many Chairs and Titles)

Peace Economics 1986 (book)

Natural Global Warming 1991 (paper)

Professor Radio for Peace International 1997-2004 (“Weather Wealth and Wars” course)

Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-23, steadily growing online attention since day one.

Other Power Point Slides

Empire is all about limitation and control, growth is all about opportunity and achievement.  Politics, press, health, work, crime, sports, key occupations, and national security are all worsened by the militarism and restrictions of the domestic condition called empire.

https://www.academia.edu/4044456/SUMMARY_Military_DisEconomics_Accuracy13_1p_13

Ukraine War Map and Game:

https://www.academia.edu/85642103/UkraineGame

If you do not give a hoot about this game, check out the map for following the news.

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2023, August 28), “Freedom and Authenticity” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Freedom and Authenticity,2023298149.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2023 with accelerating interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 to 349 by the October 6th, 2022 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

Ukraine Offensive Strategy

Maneuver and Firepower

This is the essence of military strategy; maneuver, firepower, and supply.  “Get there first with the most soldiers” is how to succeed militarily.  Though quick victory is the best way to reduce casualties in war, long costly struggles are the usual result when both sides underestimate each other. 

Ukraine Wargame

Playing the Ukraine wargame, that I devised last summer, has given me much insight into the 2022-23 Ukraine war with Russia.  The game is designed with a higher reinforcement rate for Ukraine thanks to NATO funding.  Russia must win early, such as in the first year and a half (18 monthly turns), by taking Ukraine’s three key cities, the capital Kiev, the port Odessa, and the route to the West through the once Polish city Lviv.  Capturing Kiev by October (9th move) is the usual way to a Russian win, November is usually too late.  In one game Ukraine lost Kiev in November but re-took it a few turns later to go on to win.  A Ukraine win usually takes about two years.  But both sides will become thin and precarious just before lurching into one side’s favor.  That is exactly the current situation as both sides are running out of ammunition right now.    

The American generals mistakenly expect the situation to stagnate into a quagmire, with low confidence that Ukraine can recover lost territories.  Reminds me of the generals Lincoln had to deal with the first three years.  The gains last year around Kharkiv in the Donbas area and the recapture of Kherson in the West clearly show Ukraine is capable. 

Counteroffensive Strategy

            Cities and rivers are the main defenses.  Being in a city doubles the strength of defending units and locating behind a river also doubles defenders.  Offensive strategy involves attacking open areas where troops do not double, then flanking rivers and surrounding cities.  Bahkmut shows how stubborn the Russians are insisting on costly and stupid frontal assault and attrition.

            Counteroffensive strategy should divide the Russians in two, cutting the land bridge from Mariupol to Sevastopol.  They should begin by punching a hole in Russian lines South from Zaporizhia.  Mariupol to Kherson represents the so-called land bridge from Crimea to Russia.  Melitopol is the unmarked small city at square M24, two squares South of Zaporizhia and two squares West of Mariupol.  It shows on the BBC maps as being infested with partisans, who should be mobilized to block Russian reinforcements to the breakthrough area.  I would seize this city with troops sent there by helicopters to hold off Russians coming from the Donbas or Russia.  I would run Bradleys and Leopards into the breech.  The main forces should make a Western turn to encircle the six nuclear reactors on the Russian side of the Dnieper River and then continue to encircle Russians across the river from Kherson, cutting them off from retreat to Crimea.  Done well, the Western half of the Russian army could be surrounded and destroyed over time, leaving the door to Sevastopol and Crimea wide open.  The Russian fleet could be trapped and destroyed in Crimea.

Biden Age

American males die one third before 80, one third die in their eighties, one third die after their eighties.  That gives Biden a 20% chance of dying in office if reelected.  Without Biden’s experience Ukraine could be in a world of hurt.

Ukraine Map and Game:

https://www.academia.edu/85642103/UkraineGame

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2023, May 1), “Ukraine Offensive Strategy” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Ukraine-Offensive-Strategy,2023294510.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2023 with accelerating interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 by the October 7th, 2022 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

Hush Money Stole Election

Trump Steals 2016 Election

Russia, Comey, and Stormy combined in a perfect storm to elect Trump in 2016.  Russia has been grooming Trump since Trump’s 2013 Miss Universe pageant in Moscow, when Trump met with a group of Russian oligarchs afterwards.  When the Trump team welcomed illegal foreign assistance from Russia, it was just another example of the disregard of the law by the totally corrupt Russian puppet Trump.  Trump is so venal and valueless that the thought of a Trump hotel in Moscow was enough to buy him off.  Although the Mueller Report was restricted by Trump appointees at Justice, he documented ten cases of obstruction of justice.  The truly independent investigation by the bipartisan Senate Intelligence Committee chaired by a Republican found collusion with the Russians.  A researcher at UW Madison found that the same Russian disinformation that came from 4000 Russian Facebook sites also came from 20,000 Trump Facebook sites, and at the same time.  Obvious coordination.

Tipping Point

Hillary was hurt by the grossly overrated Benghazi investigation farce, then the Russian hacking stolen emails, FBI violation of “new” emails to investigate announcement ten days before election by Comey succumbing to Republican false pressure.  FBI announcement of new investigations of candidates is not allowed in the 40 days before election.  Comey was a Republican appointee.  But supplying the Russians with the target states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania by Manafort was crucial.  The Russians also laundered $30 million to Trump through the NRA.  But after the “Access Hollywood” tape and the “pussy” comment the campaign decided to pay hush money to Stormy Daniels and another mistress.  Surviving that second blast might not have been possible.  Hush money may have decided the election.  It wouldn’t have taken much to erase the 70,000 votes that won the three key states.

Federal Reserve Inflation Strategy

When Trump fired Janice Yeltsin as fed chair and replaced her with Jerome Powell, that was a corrupt abuse of power.  Biden should have immediately fixed this problem by firing and replacing Jerome Powell rather than ratifying him.  Now we are stuck with this flat Earth Republican economist.  It was easily expected that a five percent increase in interest rates would crater long term bonds, like the ten-year treasury’s that brought down the Silicon Valley bank.  Before the increases, which started only one year ago at zero before the first time 3-16-22.  Inflation was 6% when the Ukraine war started on February 24, 2022, peaked in June at 9.1% (same month oil prices peaked).  The eight-month 3.1% drop from June 2022 to February 2023 is perfectly linear downward and if this trend continues inflation could reached the goal of 2% by December this year.

My point is that the fed has over reacted and should have stopped long ago.  After the banking collapse, raising the rates even more shortly after that is totally irresponsible in my book.  When recovery is halfway complete, stop hitting the brakes, when the fed expects a six to nine month delayed effect on the economy, the December goal is already baked in the cake.  Accelerating when the banks are stressed already is totally insane.  Watching Jerome Powell on CSPAN convinces me he is a narrow minded “flat Earth” economist.

Mitch McConnell Evil Justice Delay

When the Georgia election of January 5th 2021 gave control of the Senate to the Democrats, Republicans kept control of the Senate through impeachment and delayed the appointment of Merrick Garland to Justice for fifty days.  Those include the days when Justice decided not to prosecute the then no longer president Trump for hidden hush money benefit to the 2016 campaign, while Justice was still under Trump appointee control.

Fentanyl Insanity

Portugal (in particular) and Europe (generally) legalized most illegal recreational drugs without increasing demand.  Without legalization and the related quality control, how can you ever stop Fentanyl?  Why not do something useful like stopping monosodium glutamate and aspartame, which gave me headaches for years, until a nurse I was hiking with informed me.  Diet cherry 7-up was killing me.   Control is not better than freedom, just as my peace economics theory shows (in general).

Lying Is the Greatest Crime

Lying seems to be the gateway to the more notorious of crimes such as war, genocide, and murder.  The most lawless and grifting president of all time has been documented by the New York Times to have said 30,000 lies.  I have the sign above the Peace House garage next door that says “Fire the Liars.”  Liars in authority have hurt me many times in my life.  Abuse of power seems to always start with lies.  My lifetime hatred of lies and liars (and bullies) makes it nearly impossible to get me to say even a white lie.  “Oh, what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive.”  (Sir Walter Scott 1808).   Lies make life unduly complicated and confusing leading to many disasters.  Lies and secrecy can destroy the trust needed for democracy to thrive.

Summary Military Diseconomies Accuracy:  

https://www.academia.edu/4044456/SUMMARY_Military_DisEconomics_Accuracy13_1p_13

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2023, April 2), “Hush Money Stole Election” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Hush Money Stole Election,2023293337.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2023 with accelerating interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 by the October 7th, 2022 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com  Info: www.realeconomy.com

Power, Control, and Empire

Basic Human Needs

We are social creatures in need of love community and family.  But the other two basic needs for achievement and power, define the essence of the manufacturing and military contradiction.  Achievements lead to economic growth mainly through new manufacturing, while Power is the essence of the international political arena of military spending.  Achievement relates to economic growth just as Power relates to politics and control.  Empire, while usually thought of in geographic terms, in peace economics terms is best defined and measured by high levels of military spending relative to the size of a national economy.  An empire society will have dominant levels of military spending compared to others.  Just as achievement leads to creativity and growth, power leads to limitation and control.  Control is important to guide things but is not a part of creativity and economic growth.

Control Is the Essence of Empire

National Security is the argument for empire conventionally speaking.  But it’s really all about controlling the environment the country is in.  Bigger dominant and sprawling are all attractions that drive that control impulse.  Power is the goal while control is the mechanism.  Individual glory for a national leader is a great historical driver of many wars and expansions.  Control puts law and order restrictions front and center.  Control means more lawyers and red tape than low military Europe or Japan have.  Lawyers for control, Engineers for economic growth and inventions.  Lots of lawyers in the empire control-oriented society, the Romans are famous for the development of law.  Lots of engineers in the high growth societies.  Yankee ingenuity.

Domestic Consequences of Control

Politics and crime are the leading areas directly affected by empire militarism.  Yet several bad health statistics also correlate strongly with empire.  Teen Births, Mental Illness, and Obesity each correlate a robust 0.8 rounded to the nearest tenth.  Homicides and Prisoners likewise correlate a robust 0.8 rounded to the nearest tenth or better.   On the economic front, military spending correlates over 0.9 with a lack of social mobility and high manufacturing CEO pay.  Income inequality also correlates about 0.8 with military spending (empire), about the same as low press freedom media (using Reporters without Borders data).  Empire weakens the economy, making a society unequal, crime ridden, and unhealthy compared to other advanced economies.  Many people will die due to crime rising, the limited economics, dehumanization (of enemies and crime victims), and kill training of troops.  More people will be murdered domestically during peacetime than die during wars.  Murder is one way to destroy domestic peace.  The peace economics imperative to increase prosperity and reduce murders will also reduce wars.  This will do more for peace than an African peace deal or media against tyrants.  Recognition of the two hard science theories in my work will make this kind of social progress inevitable.

Limits of Politics

In the seventy-eight years since the end of World War II the USA politics has evolved like the Roman Empire did, in this way:  America is evolving from democracy towards dictatorship just as  the Roman Empire evolved out of the Roman Republic.  Eisenhower was shocked to witness the scramble for military dollars, warning about the military industrial complex achieving undue influence over America.  Dehumanization has flourished over time and exploded under Trump.  The confederacy, the South, has flipped from Democratic to Republican.  Over time moderates have lost out to the Southern extremists with the rise of the Tea Party in 2010.  Polarization has grown stronger and stronger as the extreme party has treated Democrats as enemies, a process that duplicates what happens in wartime.  The Roman Empire had many civil wars under the emperor system, which started with Augustus in 27 BC.

Crime

Many people will die due to crime rising, limited economics, dehumanization (of enemies and crime victims), and kill training of troops.  Militarism leads to crime in the deviant 2%.  In recent decades crime has evolved slowly, changing with changes in the military budget with about a six-year delay (child development into an at-risk status takes time, although teachers can recognize the problem kids right away).  At one time kids saw 18,000 murders on TV by the time they grew up.  The doubling of gun deaths since 2015 is anomalous to this gradual pattern, suggesting Trump rhetoric and encouragement to treat others violently throughout his career has born fruit, with some help from the pandemic.  Trump tactics and Covid isolation and fear have contributed to the quadrupling of domestic terrorism in the last few years.

Militarism Control Empire Social Decay:  

https://www.academia.edu/11421799/MILITARISM_CONTROL_Empire_Social_Decay_WWW_97_6p

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2023, January 31), “Power, Control, and Empire” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Power,-Control,-and-Empire,2023291000.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2023 with accelerating interest from the deciding Norwegians.  A consistently growing pattern shows intense interest in my work on my expertclick.com website; daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 by the October 7th, 2022 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

Economic Misunderstandings

This election has revealed numerous Economic Misunderstandings

Republicans, being the out of power party, is being given the benefit of the doubt for economics, inflation, and crime.  Reality indicates none of these three opinions are justified under the current circumstances.  But aren’t the Democrats the “out” party because Republicans are the “in” party in terms of the Supreme Court anti-abortion decision?  So, both sides are motivated to change the establishment.

Inflation

Most inflation comes from shutdowns during the pandemic, oil prices, and price gouging.  Inflation is 15% worldwide with America low on the list, even lower than Germany and Britain at 10% each.  The right would have you blame government spending, but deficit funding has the main impact.  The last high inflation period began with exact linearly increasing deficits by presidential term from Kennedy to Reagan.  And while the Democrats do tend to spend a lot, the Inflation Reduction Act reduces the deficit $400 billion.  With billionaires paying an average 3% income tax rate, there is plenty of room for taxing the rich.  The 15% billionaire corporation minimum income tax is intended to encourage a worldwide 15% rate.

Actually, lockdowns and oil shocks from 1) the pandemic rebound and 2) the Russian War are a big part of the story.  But corporate masters failed to raise wages to match their price increases, hoarding profits creating a “family level” middle class recession.  Republicans won’t raise the minimum wage or protect union organizing or support an excess profit tax.  They just want to blame the Democrats without any intention of doing anything to fix inflation.  They just want to reverse Democratic policies like health care, global warming, and lately even social security.

Trump made oil price increases inevitable when he negotiated a 2 million barrel a day cut in oil production by the Saudi’s just before leaving office.  MBS hates Biden and loves Trump so much that they probably colluded on this year’s October Surprise, the 2 million oil supply cut by OPEC.  Ironically, this puts Russia, Iran and Saudi Arabia on the same side in the war.  Iran and Saudi Arabia, deathly enemies, colluding.  Because Trump and the Hungarian leader weakened NATO, Putin thought he would have an easy war, with NATO needing consensus to act.  Biden’s long chairmanship of Foreign Affairs led to a brilliant defense of Ukraine including sanctions and weapons. The Javelin antitank missile won the war on the Kiev front and the mobile rocket launcher HIMARRS with a fifty-mile range is disrupting Russian supplies and winning the current counterattacks by Ukraine.  The Russian artillery advantage has been overmatched.

Economics

Nixon funding made monetarism the leading economic theory over Keynesianism, and the economic mainstream has never recovered.  Monetarism has the main flaw that tightening the money supply can raise interest rates slowing the economy, but loosening the money supply does much less to stimulate the economy.  Putting on the brakes is usually the only effective strategy.  Monetarism is close to useless in econometric models which have to be built with Keynesian concepts.  The real economy of Keynesianism productivity is far more important than the financial approach of militarism.  That military spending depletes the manufacturing sector is the finding that ushers in the Reuschlein theories of economics.  The second half of the Reuschlein theory is based on the fact that heat slows the economy down and cool speeds it up.  Balance of energy between the Earth’s lands and oceans creates the 54-year cycle of 27 years of cooling followed by 27 years of warming.  Despite knowing that huge uncertainties exist in mainstream macroeconomics, they cling to their corruption and do not want to see the accurate models I’ve created. They were stunned at my conference presentation in Toronto, and in person I often face blank stares.  That’s why my book needs 400 pages to deal with all the false consciousness out there.  My theory is quite simple but the ramifications are endless, and that’s where empire theory represents a starting place to rebuild the social sciences around.  I call what’s happening to America now “social decay” of empire, starting with a near perfect correlation between domestic crime and the military in international comparisons.  Teachers know the problem kids early on.  Raised in a culture of demonization of the enemy makes it easier to be violent or steal from others.  Scapegoating only goes so far before dehumanization sets in and we all become the other.  Republicans are the party of big business, but the Democrats often favor small business, the engine of job growth.  Historically Democrats outperform Republicans in growth rates about 80% of the time.  Democrats are more nuanced and holistic building policies around the individual.  Republicans think the stock market and business drive the economy but they are only parts of the economy, government and consumers are important also.  The consumer drives the business sales that are the life blood of the economy.  The government can spend to pull up a weak economy.  Republicans are great talkers and nitpickers, making up grudges to anger the voters (own the libs, cruelty is the point) while they fleece voters’ pockets to give tax cuts to the rich, while secretaries pay higher income tax rates than billionaires.

Crime

The recent rise in crime is not across the board, but really represents years of promoting violence and guns at campaign rallies ramping up to the January 6 Insurrection.  I have been researching crime since 1989.  Rates of crime change only gradually over time, generally up when military spending is up and down when military spending goes down.  But starting in 2015, when Trump started eight years of constant attacks on everyone in sight, demonizing everyone that crosses him.  This atmosphere of negativity, hate speech, and violence encouraging has led to millions of gun purchases and the doubling of gun deaths by 2020.  Putin has got what he wanted by helping elect Trump to promote division, chaos, civil war and the oil industry.  Putin apparently donated $30 million to the NRA to go to Trump in 2016.  Russian disinformation went out from Russian sites and Trump sites at the same time, showing clear collusion, and multiplying the Russian impact fivefold (80% Trump sites, 20% Russian).  Trump is a very good disciple of Putin, wanting the same powers Putin has with similar hate groups to hate, and the same chaos and civil war Steve Bannon recruited Trump for. It’s not a crime problem, it’s a gun problem which means only the Democrats have a solution.

One Solution

The proposals to provide universal four-year-old kindergarten and child care would have brought millions of desperately needed women back into the workforce.  At a time with ten million job openings this would bring increased income and inflation relief to many families.  Unfortunately, this was dropped as part of the Inflation Reduction Act.  Is Joe Manchin part misogynist?  Raising the minimum wage to $15 would help the price gouging not just go to profits but some of it will go to middle class workers.

List of Main Findings and Claims:  

https://www.academia.edu/37217512/Findings_and_Special_Claims_November_2017_2_pages

Please cite this work as follows:  Reuschlein, Robert. (2022, November 5), “Economic Misunderstandings” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Economic-Misunderstandings,2022277848.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nobel Peace Prize nominee 2016-2022 with accelerating interest from the staff of the deciding Norwegians.  On my expertclick.com website daily “hard looks” per year went from 2 to 3 to 48 to 128 to 200 to 322 to 346 by the October 7th, 2022 Nobel Peace Prize announcement time.

Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 

Info: www.realeconomy.com

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