Press Conference on the Nobel Peace Prize
Noon CDT on Friday October 11th, 2019.
Sequoya Library, 4340 Tokay Blvd Madison, WI 53711
Carefully restructuring Keynes (1936) with the military economy findings of Ruth Sivard (1981) and Reuschlein (1986) and the cyclical findings of Nicolai Kondratiev (1926) and Clement Juglar (1858) leads to a new scientific and accurate model of macroeconomics, including a precision model of 77 years in the United States economy. That constitutes a finding that military spending is lost capital investment to any nation’s economy. That finding forces a re-examination of how best to defend the nation state. A 2% annual loss of economic growth (or capital investment) over a 36-year period can cut a nation’s economy in half. Thus in about a third of a century, excessive military spending can severely weaken a nation. This demands a reevaluation of national strategy, to keep a skeletal amount of military spending during long periods of peace between major wars. This alone represents a giant step towards world peace, because the world will have less war damage when it has lower military spending, and less temptation to engage in minor wars when the military option is recognized for its true cost. Less military means less domestic military economy pressure to justify higher levels of the military budget by use or to meet political power play demands; i.e. less military, less wars, less tension, less political corruption.
Other Major Spinoffs of the Military Economy
Cutting military spending has significant long-term national security benefits, but also avoids a lot of evils of empire. Many similarities exist among dictatorships, Third World countries, Medievalism, Fascism, and Empire. Thus many evil ramifications result from militarism and particularly measured by the high level of military spending. For example, Rome started out as a Republic and ended up a dictatorship, especially as the military was professionalized becoming increasing expensive over time. America is undergoing a similar pattern, as the Republic and congress is increasingly dominated by the foreign policy of the military presidency. Sports have become more militarized as Romans took to watching gladiators and Americans have taken to American football with its heavy militaristic parallels throughout the game and its heavy physical toll on the players. Crime and corruption are strongest in the strongholds of militarism and the military economy domestically and internationally compared to other advanced democracies. Power and control become dominant values instead of the value of achievement. Social mobility dies out as the stagnation of wage growth becomes the norm in the slow growth economy. Whether it is Hollywood, the media, or the political structure, more and more positions seem more inherited than earned. Obesity, mental health, longevity, teenage births and infant mortality all suffer as anxiety steadily increases over time.
Long Cycle Dominates Planet
The Kondratiev Wave is essential to the long-term precision United States economic model of 77 years. That model uses a 54-year cycle modelled by a sine wave with an amplitude of 3% of the economy, further confirmed by the 8-10 year Juglar cycle found seven times in the model. Further the 160-year global temperature show a 55-year moving average has three straight lines before 1910, from 1910 to 1973, and after 1973. Economic growth shrinks with 27-year heat waves and increases with 27-year cool waves and wars peak at the end of the growth cycle as national economic disparities and wealth have maximized. The hot cycle ends with major droughts and the (relative) cool cycle begins with major floods. Hurricanes follow the cycle but on a regional basis, best focused on major cities. Linear forecasts based on the Greenhouse Effect would be greatly improved by recognizing this cycle.
Listing of 17 major Peace Economics findings:
Please cite this work as follows: Reuschlein, Robert. (2019, October 10), “Logic of the Peace Economy” Madison, WI, Real Economy Institute. Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Logic-of-the-Peace-Economy,2019195272.aspx
Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute, Nominated Vetted 2016 (2 Web Looks), Given Odds 2017 (3 Web Looks), Strongly Considered 2018 (48 Web Looks, one million words) for Nobel Peace Prize, and a favorite in 2019 (more than double pace of last year: 127 Strong Web Looks in 12 months) for Nobel Peace Prize to be announced Friday October 11th, 2019.