bobreuschlein

Military Empire and Climate Cycle Views

Archive for the tag “military history”

Born in the United States

Listening to various music on the plane back to America from Norway, Bruce Springsteen’s album “Born in the USA” inspired this Peace Economics approach to these song titles.

Working on the Highway

This song reminds me of the story of American on the rise.  United by the Civil War and ever expanding Westward, America started the twentieth century a rising industrial power with the largest economy in the world.  Frederick Taylor, inventing industrial engineering in the age of railroads in the 1890s, found out that productivity for laying railroads peaked at 64 degrees Fahrenheit.  As temperatures increase above that level proportionately less work gets done.  This shows how capital accumulation and the economy improves slightly with slightly lower temperatures or slows down slightly with slightly higher temperatures, as most capital, economic progress, and infrastructure starts with construction.  A century of data confirms these patterns.

 

Glory Days

This song about those that peaked in high school reminds me about America’s fixation with World War II (WWII) and the so-called Greatest Generation.  Yes, the Marshall Plan was infinitely better than the 1919 Versailles treaty which gave us WWII.  But even the Marshall Plan only supplied 10% of the internally generated capital in Japan and Germany in the 1950s.  Important startup capital, but low military spending was the real secret ingredient that gave both Japan and Germany average economic growth rates over 8% for the decade of the fifties.  They both thank America for democracy, especially the more modern parliamentary type, including Japan’s antiwar constitution and Germany’s equal representation with owners for workers on corporate boards.  Thanks America.  The military burdens of empire have held America back ever since WWII, hence the fixation with those glory days of the so-called good war.  Most wars ever since have ended badly.

Born in the USA

America’s 329 million includes 47 million immigrants, largely thanks to the 1965 Immigration Act. That’s 14.4% of the US population.  In the age of empire after 1945, immigrants have bolstered the economy with one Newsweek article suggesting that immigrants make about 2.5 times as much as other Americans.  This “all roads lead to Rome” keeps the American economy a world leader, despite the economic erosion of the highest military budget in the world.  Many physicians, dentists, lawyers, engineers, scientists, accountants, and rich businesspeople are among those immigrants often educated in the US and seeking to stay.  Meanwhile ever since the number one nuclear weapons contractor spokesperson Ronald Reagan tricked people into cutting the top tax rate 60% while only helping the middle class 15% in the name of a 25% tax cut, income inequality has quadrupled top 1% incomes while the 99% have had their incomes frozen for forty years.  Yes, that stagnancy even includes the rest of the top 5%.  And the real winners are the top 0.1%.  Only about 25% of immigrants are the poor South of the border type, and about 80% are legal.

I’m Going Down

Peace Economics shows strong international comparison correlations with high crime, corruption, and low health for the higher militarized economies.  This is the essence of the social decline of empire that accompanies the slow steady economic decline.  Even today political crisis pervades the three most militarized countries in NATO, America, Britain, and France.  Trump has disrupted America, Brexit befuddles Britain, and Macron’s elite policies with a blind spot to income inequality in France have created turmoil in all three countries.  All three have faced unwanted Russian interventions.  Meanwhile the most successful economy in Europe, Germany, has had up until now the lowest percentage of military spending at a mere 1%.  That 1% military has been the secret of success for pre-WWII America and post-WWII Japan.  The last three decades Japan has grown little while Japanese capital has brought up the whole Far East neighborhood, starting with the Four Tigers of Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and South Korea and proceeding after that with China.  The Fujian province next to Hong Kong is where the high growth started in China in the 1980s.  Hong Kong was taking over China economically before China took over Hong Kong politically in 1999.  And low military Italy overtook Britain in 1987 in per capita income, the same year Japan passed America in per capita economy.  Then Britain found North Sea Oil, and Japan peaked in 1994 at 40% higher per capita income over America and has slumped to 25% higher in 2000 and continues to slump.

No Surrender

Americans famously used the Alamo “no surrender” policy to fend-off the Mexican army long enough to rally enough troops to defend Texas in 1845.  Much later, America adopted the unconditional surrender demand for fighting the tyrants of World War II.  Then the Republican Party took the idea too far, applying it in domestic politics, led by Newt Gingrich in 1994 as the first Republican Speaker of the House in forty years.  Extremism and the politics of personal destruction took hold after 46 years of the Cold War, ironically just after the Cold War ended.  But the excessive militarism of the long high military spending in peacetime years of the Cold War (1945-1991) had kind of baked into the cake the habits of empire.  So entwined was the nation in militarism that George H. W. Bush had to tempt a cash starved Iraq (drained by the Iran war) into trying to reclaim oil rich Kuwait as the 18th province separated from the rest of Iraq by the British in 1921.  He told his ambassador to Iraq to say the US didn’t care about border disputes after encouraging the Kuwaitis to slant drill underground for oil under the ground in Iraq.  Then he acted with outrage and rallied the UN to “free” Kuwait.  This saved the military from appearing irrelevant after the end of the Cold War, holding the Cold War defense budget cuts to 25% while Europe cut their forces 50%.  Empire was saved enough to be restored in the second Bush presidency after eight years of peace and prosperity.  Meanwhile, the second Democratic presidency after the Cold War was met with total noncooperation from the Republican Party and the Republican Party brought their Southern style politics North in 2010 to rebuke the first Black president.  Extremism was normalized, making Trump possible, in a new post-truth society of unlimited propaganda.  America had the equivalent of Caligula, the crazy emperor of Rome who lasted four years.

One Page Principles Summary of Peace Economics: https://www.academia.edu/4044456/SUMMARY_Military_DisEconomics_Accuracy13_1p. 13

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, December 14), “Born in the United States”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Born-in-the-United-States,2018165532.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted 2016, Given Odds 2017, Strongly Considered 2018 Nobel Peace Prize, Possible Favorite in 2019 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 4th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

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Following Nobel Norwegians

Beginning 2016

When I first wrote Peace Economics in 1986, I had hoped to be recognized with the Nobel Peace Prize, but a friend of mine thought I should be nominated for the Pulitzer.  Neither happened for a very long time as I tried various ways to get the word out.  Recognition was sporadic for many years, then I finally earned a doctorate in 2009 and things started happening.  In 2013 I began a press release campaign using the ExpertClick.com vehicle to reach 7000 members of the press.  In five years, I’ve had 160,000 views of my 200 press releases.  After two years of work on this project, I asked for my followers to nominate me for the Nobel Peace Prize in January 2016 a couple of weeks before the February 1 deadline.  An old friend came through for me and I sought a second nomination to separate me from the pack of over 300 nominees.  That seemed to work when suddenly something unusual happened on my website.  The website shows view totals for each release whenever I check it.  I check it several times a day and divide the day in thirds for my records.  Suddenly the totals of all 50 of my most current releases showed an increase of one about 9am February ,2, 2016 Norway time.  Apparently, I was being checked out by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.  Excited, I sent them a copy of my 40-minute video with a 24-page booklet enclosed of the latest compact version of my work Peace Economics.  This led to 22 views from France that had also never happened before on the WordPress.com website.  I did not expect France instead of Norway, but it turns out one of the committee was working in Strasbourg, France as Secretary General of the Council of Europe.  He also was educated in economics, the natural one to vet the Peace Economist.  And my email preceding the video shipment had mentioned “proof of peace economics” which was one visit to the home page of my WordPress.com site in March 2016 and 21 months back to July 2014 to that press release.

Silence Before the 2017 Award

Nothing much happened after the February March 2016 initial burst of interest until the twelve days before the 2017 announcement.  Then a new pattern of looking at the most recent 24 releases emerged three times, on Saturday afternoon Europe time 12 days before, Monday evening Europe time 10 days before, and the Thursday night before the 2017 announcement.  This looked like two people on the five-member committee double-checking first then searching for a third vote the night before.  Although the 2017 award to ICAN made some sense because of the prominence of the nuclear weapons issue thanks to North Korea and Trump, it was largely ignored by the world press.  Hence some misgivings about that award would justify looking for another recipient.

Emerging Favorite with 2018 Award

This third year has been amazing as the new pattern of reading the latest 24 press releases has repeated itself about 48 times compared to twice the first year and three the second year.  Despite not getting the award this year, clearly, I’ve reached the short list of favorite nominees.  In the year of the ME-TOO movement of women, it was logical to give the award to activists against the use of rape as a weapon of war. Perhaps my time will come in a year of world recession or war.  Cyber war, the war on democracy, the war on crime, the war on injustice and inequality, the war on climate change, the war on immigrants and refugees, the war on poverty, are all topics worthy of consideration for an award.  I have shown how many of those are related to high levels of military spending.  My two new scientific theories of economics and climate change all feed into the second clause in Nobel’s will about “reduction of armies” as a goal for the Peace Prize.  Reducing armies’ fights poverty and strengthens the national economy while reducing tensions and making a nation more immune to attack.  Clearer understanding of climate change mechanisms leads to a better understanding of both natural threat cycles and war cycles.  Knowing when hurricanes tend to repeat in a geographic area leads to better preparation.  Knowing when major wars tend to occur between major economic powers leads to better management of defense resources.  Less uncertainty leads to lower levels of armaments.  Of the 48 “hard looks” at my work this last year, the patterns are revealing.  Interest starts slow and accelerates over the course of the year.  In the fourth quarter of 2017 only two.  In the first quarter of 2018 ten hard looks.  In the second quarter of 2018 sixteen hard looks.  In the crucial third quarter of 2018 twenty hard looks before the announcement.  Interest in my candidacy by the committee has never been higher than right now.

Others Showing Interest Online

In the very first year of these press releases, October 2013, multiple site viewers made five views on academia.edu October 20-22 indicating interest by the Pentagon (Alexandria, Virginia) in my climate cycle theory.  This makes sense because the Pentagon is worried about global warming leading to many new conflicts around the world.  Then October 28-30 the CIA showed interest in my military economic theories with eight views from various sites but mostly Fairfax, Virginia.

Then Google started showing lots of interest with 76 views over five years 2013-2018, seventy from Mountain View, California.  Those Google views were mostly in 2015 and 2016 with 65 in those years.

Future Possibilities

Al Gore won the Nobel Peace Prize 179 years after the scientific discovery of the greenhouse effect.  Copernicus so feared retribution by the church that his work was not published until his daughter found it upstairs in the attic after his death.  Gandhi never won a Nobel Peace Prize because he died before it could be awarded.  Yoko Ono said on the 30th anniversary of John Lennon’s death that 1 million homicides had occurred in America since that day.  My finding that homicide rates are proportional to a nation’s military spending percentage of the economy suggests that cutting military spending in half could cut homicides in half, saving 500,000 lives over that thirty-year period.  That fact alone looks to me comparable to creating peace in a war that cost 500,000 lives over thirty years in Columbia. Using economic incentives to reduce military spending worldwide should reduce both the tendency to have war and the human cost of wars.  How valuable is that?  Understanding that the solar energy imbalances caused by different evaporation rates over oceans and lands affects natural disasters, economics, and wars with untold costs to humankind.  Better understanding of this cycle could save many thousands of lives every year.  How valuable is that?  How much more important is it to change these patterns now than to wait another year or two for a timely event to justify such an award?

Ten Pages Showing 56 Power Point Frames of Key Lectures:

https://www.academia.edu/36620474/Good_Concepts_May_2018_Update_Ten_Pages

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, October 8), “Following Nobel Norwegians”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Following-Nobel-Norwegians,2018162846.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted 2016, Given Odds 2017, Strongly Considered 2018 Nobel Peace Prize, Possible Favorite in 2019 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 4th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Valuable Peace Economics

What I call Peace Economics is an evolution of ideas that spring from reassessing the false theory that military spending stimulates the economy.  What is revolutionary about this idea is the mathematical certainty of the models that verify it and the long shadow of internal political, social, defense, and historical consequences that spring directly from the military economy.

Military Spending Hurts the National Economy (#1 Idea)

This first finding surprised me so much because I had assumed that military Keynesianism showed that military spending helped the economic growth rate.  But Ruth Sivard’s work so contradicted that knowledge I had been taught at college that I instantly shared her bar charts all over the State of Oregon Legislature.  Finding that others did not share my clear vision and enthusiasm led to the exhaustive tests and proofs that she was right that I eventually named Peace Economics.  The peace movement was seemingly just as deluded as the economists, politicians, and journalists.  The peace movement was principally concerned only two ways, about nuclear weapons and about human rights.   This central finding led to a new economic theory, proof of the Kondratiev Wave (54 yr.), and proof of the Juglar Cycle (8-10 yr.).  Keynes and Roosevelt had already proven the economic stimulus value of the national deficit.  It has been a long heavy lift to establish the other three basic points, just as Thomas Kuhn’s Structure of a Scientific Revolution would predict.

Military Spending Hurts the National Defense (#2 Idea)

My second book title, Strength Through Peace, conveys this concept.  While defenders of the military industrial complex often resort to the slogan Peace Through Strength, I find that slogan very misleading.  The real power of a nation lies in its economic strength even more than its military strength.  The short-term benefits of military spending are usually meager compared to the steady erosion of economic strength military spending causes.  In fact, because of Idea #1 above, premature high levels of military spending when threats are relatively low only serve the purpose of gradually weakening a nation when a major threat shows up some time later.  The longer the interval before a real military need emerges, the greater the weakening rendered by excessively high premature levels of military spending.  The Defense Strategy chapter of my 1986 book Peace Economics shows some of the trade-off charts used to estimate appropriate levels of military spending for the longer term or even for the shorter-term strategies.

Military Spending Dominates and Controls a Nation (#3 Idea)

This shows up in the regional nature of changes in military spending. What crystalizes this as a mathematical relationship is looking at the degree of militarization of a state’s economy and lumping states together in one region based on major metropolitan centers that can pull several states together into a mini-region.  Thus, the military states concept shows how politics in the United States is dominated by the military industrial complex.  All of America’s leading political institutions are dominated by figures from the high military spending states and regions.  That includes about 80% of the presidents since World War II, 80% of the cabinet, 80% of congressional leadership, and 80% of the supreme court.  The misleading positive correlation with military spending regionally fails to recognize the losses in manufacturing states under military buildups and the gains in manufacturing states under military builddowns. In other words, the nation as a whole gains when the military lowers and the nation as a whole loses when the military is increased.  This contrast shows up most sharply between the Great Lakes states industrial heartland versus the high military and financial states of the bi-coastal economy.  Great opportunities exist in the financial markets to exploit these regional differences whenever a major change in military spending occurs.

Episodic Nature of Major Wars and Economic and Natural Events (#4 Idea)

The Kondratiev Wave, 54-year cycle, shows up precisely as a perfectly sinusoidal fluctuation in the manufacturing productivity growth rate in the 63-year model mentioned in Idea #1.  After the 1988 drought in the United States I took three years to figure out the natural connection to this cycle and the war cycle.  After hurricane Sandy hit New York in 2012, I created a chart of 56 major natural, economic, and war event examples of the cycle, with about 95% accuracy. I also established the connecting mechanisms between these three different forms of the cycle.  This is a great achievement that will improve forecasting for hurricanes, great recessions, and wars.  This makes possible a rational reduction in military spending as part of a national defense strategy.  Millions will benefit from improved forecasting of economic and natural disasters and wars might even be avoided when their causes are better understood as part of this long cycle.

Empire Decline and Socioeconomic Decay (#5 Idea)

My 1989 work first showed the murder and crime correlations with military spending.  This is a leading indicator of the social decay that occurs with prolonged levels of high military spending in a nation and shows up in the sharp drop in crime that occurred in the nineties with the end of Cold War high levels of military spending.  This also helps explain how crime has dropped in Germany and other European countries much more than in the United States in the twenty-first century, thanks to the post 9-11-01 military buildup and wars waged by the United States.  In fact, the Index created in the Spirit Level book shows that empire and military spending correlate even stronger than income inequality with obesity, mental health, teen birthrates, prisoners, and homicides.  The theory of empire that blames collapse on moral weakness has it backwards.  High military spending changes change the economy in the same year they occur, showing that the economic effect occurs first before the social effects, just as crime drops in the nineties took several years to take hold rather than happening immediately.  Cause and effect require a closer look than just watching correlations.  Military spending is the first domino to fall in the long process of manufacturing decline and social decay of empire. Rigidity is a result of the ensuing stagnation.  Stagnation comes in many forms, from political, to class rigidity, and the lack of social mobility.

Twelve Stages of Empire:

https://www.academia.edu/5415354/STAGES_of_EMPIRE_Twelve._15_ppt._3_p._2007

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, October 1), “Valuable Peace Economics”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Valuable-Peace-Economics,2018162572.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Spectrum Peace Economics

This is looking at the invisible (beyond the first fifty) press release views on ExpertClick.com from 51 to 198.  These show increased results from the last year and are quite instructive.  Name, date, new views and rank of new views.

CIA Presidents, 1-23-16, 267 views (#1)

This drew the top interest.  Few know that Presidents Clinton and Obama worked for the CIA prior to being elected president, and, no doubt it was a major contributing factor to their success.  To be elected emperor requires either coming from a high military spending state or the CIA.   The other CIA president, George Bush Sr., was appointed CIA director under Ford “despite his lack of CIA experience.”  Evidence shows he was CIA circa 1963 in Dallas.  Obama went to Pakistan twice 1981-83, the staging ground for the Afghanistan War by the CIA against Russia.  Clinton’s home state of Arkansas was ground zero for factories contributing to the eighties Contra War in Nicaragua.  See also CIA lifetime history, 4-16-16, 117 views (#26)

Earthquake Prediction, 8-26-14, 261 views (#2)

Earthquake prediction and especially hurricane prediction are important components of the natural 54 year cycle theory, a key to the 63 year US economic model, and the timing of major wars (US, Europe, and Rome).  War prediction enables a country to take advantage of peace economics to keep military spending minimal (and growth high) during more peaceful periods (circa 1977 to 2004, circa 2031 to 2058) and to better prepare for the circa 2025 major war.  See also Nepal Chile 4-28-15, 185 views (#7) and Violence Cycle, 11-29-15, 172 views (#10) and Cycle Matters, 8-3-14, 118 views (#25).

Nobel Prize Watch, 3-19-16, 254 views (#3)

This summarizes my early attempts to watch the Norwegian Nobel Committee watch me after my first nomination due 2-1-16.  The near miss in 2017 and the “ten times normal” heavy watching this year in 2018 make me very optimistic about October 5th.  See also Response Norway, 2-6-16, 130 views (#18)

Religion and Empire, 1-3-15, 207 views (#4)

Some have estimated that as much as 63% of wars have religion as a main cause.  My point in this release was that the Roman Empire coopted Christianity and put a lesser importance on doctrines of the peaceful shall inherit the earth, live by the sword and die by the sword, good Samaritan, and turn the other cheek.  Also that the Roman Catholic church became the first protestant church when Rome asserted authority over the four other Pentarchy centers of the early Chistian church, Alexandria, Constantinople, Jerusalem, and Antioch.  Note that half the leaders of communes in first two hundred years of the early church were women, before patriarchy took over.  Empire and militarism promote patriarchy.  See also Modern Feudalism, 2-21-15, 115 views (#28)

Football Baseball War, 5-28-16, 206 views (#5)

American football with its heavy emphasis on militaristic terms and practices, supplants baseball as America’s top sport during the Cold War.  Meanwhile demilitarized Japan adopts baseball as its top sport.  Empire militarizes the culture of a country.

Walker Work Dignity, 2-28-15, 193 views (#6)

This talks about the 500,000 people of the Wisconsin uprising who protested the taking away of public union and teacher trade union rights in a right wing takeover by Governor Walker of Wisconsin after the 2010 election.  The protest lasted four weeks long, taking over the state capital with at least 10,000 people every day protesting and crowds up to 150,000 on the four Saturdays.  Anti-union is a sign of empire or fascism.  The move was a sneak attack by the far right in an attempt to gut support for the other political party.

10 Scientific Revolution Facts, 2-28-15, 174 views (#8)

Scientific Revolution, 2-28-15, 173 views (#9)

These two combined would actually be #1 with 347 views.  These ten facts adopted from Thomas Kuhn’s book illustrate the difficulties of getting recognition for a new scientific paradigm.  In the case of Peace Economics, economists believe a science of economics is not possible.  In the Copernican Revolution, the church persecuted Galileo.  This has been my story for the last thirty years or so.

Eugene Politician, 5-14-14, 166 views (#11)

This is the political career I was following until I discovered Peace Economics.  My goals then changed to seek scientific glory instead of political glory.  Served thirteen years 1980-93 on the State Central Committee of the Democratic Party of Oregon, Congressional District Chair 1982-1987, National delegate 1984, and invited to Clinton inaugural 1993.  Starting two new fields, Peace Economics and Natural Cycle Theory, will save countless lives, with “reduced military spending” leading to less wars, more prosperity, and lower murder and crime rates.  Not to mention, better stock market opportunities, less political corruption, and better long term hurricane forecasts among other benefits of empire and cycle theory.

Grandpa Horicon Marsh, 3-1-14, 148 views (#14)

My heritage includes the grandfather who as State Senator funded the Horicon Marsh dam in 1927, third largest wildlife refuge in America.  My mother’s third cousin was President Kennedy, and my father’s third cousin founded Villanova Law School.  I’m a sixth generation descendent of the Bishop of York 1776 John Markham.  Direct descendent of Claron de Marsham, top general of William the Conqueror 1066.

10 Ferguson Jury Mistakes, 12-6-14, 146 views (#16)

This account of the murder of Michael Brown starting the Black Lives Matter movement “hands up don’t shoot” clearly explains how and why the jury made a huge mistake.  Colin Kaepernick sacrificed his NFL career to take a knee at football games.  See also Baltimore Riot, 5-2-15, 103 views (#38)

Violent Society, 7-23-16, 118 views (#23)

Military Terror Policing, 8-17-14, 108 views (#33)

This explains the militarization of America’s police forces used to quell protests in Ferguson.  Another case of the deepening of empire over time in America.

Low Military Defense, 12-5-15, 102 views (#41)

This is the key peace economics concept:  that too much too soon military spending is actually counterproductive to defending a nation, because:  the ultimate defense depends on the size of nation’s economy and excessive military spending steadily erodes that crucial economic strength.  An alternative title could be “Real Politics Re-Invented”.

Seventeen Key Findings and Claims of Peace Economics over thirty years:

https://www.academia.edu/37217512/Findings_and_Special_Claims_November_2017_2_pages

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, September 21), “Spectrum Peace Economics”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Spectrum-Peace-Economics,2018162207.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Power Corrupts Absolutely

When a nation takes potent research and capital resources and diverts them to power projection, it is sacrificing achievement for power.  Put another way, the nation is trading civilian manufacturing for political services.  That is why services grow at the expense of manufacturing in an empire society.  That is not an accidental association, it is a forced zero-sum choice.  Pure achievement respects and rewards the middle class as an important part of the innovative process.  Power and control thrives on stagnation and limitation of the middle class.  When merit and what you know becomes less important than who you know, classism and more rigid hierarchy sets in and social mobility suffers.  This is the beginning of the corruption of power and empire and it is a direct result of the basic power versus achievement choice made in the first place.  So political social and economic rigidity are all logical results of the choice in favor of empire backed up by the military.

Political Corruption

When the military becomes the major force in society, allocating the resources of the military becomes the major object in politics.  Then those in charge of the allocation process become the most powerful in that society. For the United States that means those chairing or sitting on the four key, House and Senate, Armed Services and Defense Appropriation Subcommittees.  In addition the leaders of the Senate and House, who often place themselves on the four key committees, share the loot with the President. Those that represent large military factories, bases, or service providers have political advantages over others in this process.  Because military manufacturers overpay their employees about one third more than non-military similar occupations and are directly dependent on the federal budget, the incentives for political involvement are very high.  Talent, money, and motive increase the power of these communities in the political process.  Major presidential candidates usually come from these powerhouse communities.  Power is a two way street in this process, such that people coming from high military states have twice the chance of those from low military states in leadership areas like congressional leadership, presidential cabinet members, supreme court appointees, and presidents.  The corruption involved in this process drives up the local crime rates and corruption levels in local business.

Other Corruptions

Because the military budget allocation process is based more on political power than proposal merit this is another great source of corruption.  There is no way to test products against the consumer marketplace like in other industries, so there is a lot of guess work rather than science in the choices made.  The test of battle comes too infrequently to be of much use, so there is a tendency to overbuild and overspend to ensure an advantage, leading to a lot of waste.

There is too much single person and hierarchical decision making and an emphasis on short term thinking.  The flexibility of a normal marketplace is not there in the military industrial complex.  This creates a kind of complacency among many who feel they can not change the system.  This in turn leads to less healthy choices and living styles.  This drives up the cost of health care and leads to a search for alternatives like drugs and lotteries to break the tedium of being cut out of the decision-making process.  Apathy extends into the stagnancy of the political process.

War Corruptions

Those involved in the war fighting of empire come away with an exaggerated level of self importance. Soldiers have the power of life and death and tend to use it too capriciously. This is another corruption the average soldier learns to live with.  Then the war fighters bring the stress home with them as the contrast between war and peace leads to culture shock.  Humans are normally loving and friendly, not readily prepared for shock and horror.  The confusion between friends and enemies also is a form of corruption.  Too much thinking about enemies leads to alienation and corrupts the soul.  Empathy is a casualty of this process and inappropriate actions can add to the domestic crime rate at home.  Families are put under a lot of stress and sometimes break apart.  Bad habits formed overseas can be taken home with the soldiers.

Arrogance of Empire

The humility and humanity of the thirties Great Depression lasted about a generation after the World War in the United States.   Then the arrogance of empire started to concentrate more in one of the political parties than the other.  Politics in America gradually became more hostile, bitter, and divisive from the 1980 election of Ronald Reagan onward.  Reagan removed the equal time doctrine allowing right wing radio and television to emerge and creating two Americas with very different political ideas.  This evolved over time with demonization of liberals and Democrats.  Clinton was faced with Newt Gingrich as the first Republican Speaker of the House in 40 years, and Obama was faced with a Tea Party congress as America began the rightward movement that produced Trump today.  Trump challenges almost every American tradition and norm of government.  Trump has been documented in 5000 lies so far creating an alternative reality among his followers thanks to right wing alternative media and press.  He attacks anyone who dares to disagree with him thanks to his 40 million social media followers, his own personal direct media.  He has raised arrogance to unprecedented new levels with his cult of personality.

 

For further power and corruption research read the following:

https://www.academia.edu/11421799/MILITARISM_CONTROL_Empire_Social_Decay_6p

 

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, August 26), “Power Corrupts Absolutely”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Power-Corrupts-Absolutely,2018161184.aspx

 

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Militarism Distorts America

The United States of America has changed a lot since World War II.  Some changes were immediate, some changes took a generation or more to sink in.  Military spending, my preferred empirical measure of empire, is the prime factor for almost all of these major changes in US society.  All of my various models show that military spending has negligible or no benefit for the economy.  It acts like lost capital investment, lost manufacturing, as the resources going into the military deplete civilian manufacturing elsewhere in America, especially depleting the Great Lakes industrial economy of the heartland.  This last part is clearly shown by regional models.  These economic changes then distort America in many ways, political, social, moral, sapping the energy and enthusiasm of all Americans as a whole.  This is what I call the “social decay of empire.”  It includes rising crime, rising income inequality, less social mobility, growing apathy, and rising anxiety and depression.  Stagnation sets in economically first, then stagnation contributes to political gridlock over time.  Fortunately empire decay is not inevitable, lowering military spending can reverse course.  But many of the social time lags can persist generationally, even while economic growth changes annually.

Similar Systems

The empire system is similar to two others:  the medieval system and the third world system.  All three systems are characterized by high military spending, high income inequality, and authoritarian power structures.  The church and ideology gain strength in such systems while science and innovation suffer.  Social mobility suffers as rigidity is favored in class based systems of power and opportunities.  Crime, poor health, drugs, gambling, red tape and escapist entertainment rise under such systems, reflecting widespread alienation and apathy.  Power and control are favored in such systems over achievement and individual merit.

Challenger Systems

Achievement is more evident than power as a prime motive of the emerging power of a challenger society.  Left alone to develop or separated by large bodies of water, societies can grow more powerful and economically strong until they are ready to sneak up on the reigning hegemonic or empire society.  Major wars of the 54 year cycle type are often between the number one economic power and the number two economic power.  Note that the economic strength is usually more important than the military strength.  Moving up the economic ladder of nations requires keeping the military low and minimal, a strategy that fits the “reduction of armies” clause in Alfred Nobel’s will as the second of three ways to earn a Nobel Peace Prize.  This also fits the biblical verse of the Sermon on the Mount of “blessed are the peacemakers for they shall inherit the earth.”  Aligning the motives of the powerful and the peacemakers is a great way to achieve world peace.

Engineering is important to an emerging society to meet its goals.  Lawyering is important to the more stable empire society, because a slow growth society will naturally have more conflicts as boundaries are defined and defended.  In the high growth society such boundary disputes look like a waste of time compared to pioneering the next great step forward.  This leads to achievement, engineering, merit, and innovation being valued over power, control, position, and legal boundaries.

Warfare Systems

War is the easiest and quickest way to take away a large number of lives.  The ultimate power is to take away another life.  Valuing your friends over your enemies leads to a certain tolerance of civilian collateral damage in the process.  This relative carelessness carries over into civilian life in an empire culture with a similar devaluing of “others” such as crime victims or other ethnic groups and genders.  Alienation and separation from others makes crime more likely, just as economic stagnation makes some people more desperate.  The fear based brain and the rational brain correspond to the power oriented and achievement oriented societies respectively.  Violence crime and corruption are fellow travelers of the fear based brain empire societies.  Doing whatever you can get away with under the law is a corruption of doing whatever is fair and best for everyone concerned.  Thus it is no accident that the highest military spending per capita US states were the leaders in the corruption of mortgages that resulted in the Great Recession of 2008.

Timing Factor

Economics is clearly the driving factor in empires, as changes in military spending change the economic growth rate in the same year.  Great Recession data even suggests the military economic change shows up quarterly.  The 1982 recession starts in July 1981 suggesting the anticipation of the fiscal year 1982 military buildup began then with congressional committee budget decisions essentially completed that month.  Then defense contractors started hiring in July 1981 draining key talent away from civilian businesses to begin the recession as those civilian businesses start to collapse.  On the other hand, crime rates dropping after the end of the Cold War in 1989-1991 suggest a five year delay between military spending changes and crime rate changes, suggesting that the formative years before age 18 are crucial to crime statistics.  Elementary teachers can spot the at risk students immediately and criminal activity can begin before age 18, so maybe a 9 or 11 year moving average of military spending maybe better correlate with the crime changes.  Likewise, crime does not move up immediately with the Iraq War bulge in US military spending.  Still peaceful Germany lowers its crime rate about 20% relative to the US rate over than time period (2003-2011 inclusive) of the nine year US war.  The end of Cold War military budget cuts were much deeper in Europe than in America dropping crime rates in Europe.  Income inequality quadrupled in three decades and social mobility was made much worse over time after the 1981 Reagan tax cut dropped the top tax rate 60% (mainly affecting the top 1%) while only cutting the middle class tax rates 15%.   The Yankee ingenuity confident America of its first two centuries seemed to dissipate after the Vietnam War while at the same time locking in the empire attitude with the two generation long Cold War.  Trump shook up the international structure politically while preserving the empire economically with a military budget increase.  Lowering the military budget after the Iraq War withdrawal in 2011 increased job growth for the last five Obama years.  Trump’s military buildup stalled that job growth in 2017.  Job growth in the last five Obama years was 25% higher than Trump’s first year, making that year 2017 the worst job growth of the last six years.

Findings and Special Claims over 33 years of military economy research:

https://www.academia.edu/37217512/Findings_and_Special_Claims_November_2017_2_pages

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, August 14), “Militarism Distorts America”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Militarism-Distorts-America,2018160716.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

 

Climate Theories Clarified

Today’s climate change discussion has become contentious in America.  Those that try to deny the reality of the Greenhouse Effect have so put the scientists in a box that they have been over-reacting defensively.  Without the Greenhouse Effect our world would be an ice ball.  That’s 16 degrees cooler Celsius or 29 degrees cooler Fahrenheit.  Melting the ice over Greenland or Antarctica would raise the oceans enough to endanger half the world’s population.  So the crisis is not trivial, yet not all the information is out there and the science is not complete.  Fake science from the fossil fuels industry is a real challenge, and because of this fake science, some real science is being misjudged, overlooked, or even attacked.  I dare to set the record straight at the risk of being labelled a climate denier, which I am not.

Greenhouse Effect Clarified

In 1828 when the first research discovered that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can raise temperatures, it was also discovered that each doubling of the carbon dioxide raised the temperature a fixed amount.  So there are diminishing returns on the Greenhouse Effect.  This was demonstrated by a student paper using a climate model that showed when he exceeded the professor’s instructions to go out one hundred years only, and instead went out two hundred years, he discovered that the effects leveled off in the second century.

In my Unitarian church group in Eugene Oregon USA, in the early nineties, I had a professor friend who taught Biology.  One day he stated that the environment is getting so bad that in about a decade we are going to face real disasters.  Then his wife spoke up and said he’s been saying the same thing for fifty years.  Perhaps Lovelace’s Gaia Hypothesis about the resiliency of the Earth is accurate, and the Earth adjusts to all these insults and injuries.

In a seminar, circa 1990, I was attacked viciously just for asking a question of one environmentalist academic on a panel at Notre Dame.  Late on the plane flight home I asked a scientist sitting next to me, and he answered that the science is there, but there are lots of uncertainties remaining.  The 97% of scientists claim has been around for a very long time.  Michael Mann’s attempt to eliminate the warmer period one thousand years ago is a major exception to his hockey stick claims.  Many other claims ignore their lack of current fit when this cycle theory would readily correct that inaccuracy.  Telling them that after their lecture and giving them a handout does no good.

Reuschlein’s Climate Cycle Origins

Inspired by Richard Hansen of NOAA data from 1899 to 1988 shown on C-SPAN, about the extreme nature of the 1988 drought in the USA, I videotaped and decoded that data to begin a three year effort to explain the 54 year cycle’s natural origins.  Only the 1934 and 1936 droughts met the very high temperature departure level of the 1988 drought, 54 and 52 years apart.  Each of these three years were 50% more than the 4th place year.  Using 16 data sets from “Trends 90” and other sources, the puzzle finally fell into place comparing the Northern and Southern Hemispheres temperatures.  After I published “Natural Global Warming” May 7, 1991, one of my readers next month commented that the June 16, 1991 Pinatubo volcano eruption confirmed my theory, exactly 108 years after Krakatoa in 1883.  Those are the two largest volcanic eruptions in the last 200 years.  The US Blizzard of 1996 was the biggest blizzard since the US Blizzard of 1888 just 108 years before.  These two perfect fits were every other 54 year cycle and both in the oceanic half (Southern Hemisphere hotter) of the 108 year cycle.

Weather Wealth and Wars

Extending the cycle to economics and then wars took several years.  Multi-year moving averages of different lengths clearly pointed to tops and bottoms 54 year apart in the US economic history data, as well as the US temperature data.  But the timing did not match and it took a long time to find the link.  The link finally emerged not through agriculture but through Frederick Taylor is the pioneer in this area with 1890s railway building studies.  Then the relative economic success of temperate zone versus tropical economies, stock market studies showing better performance in cold months and long term US analysis showing weaker economic growth in long term warming periods all confirm the Taylor findings in a wider set of areas.  Lastly, the major wars had a periodicity to them.  They consistently occur after major economic booms are ending, when wealth and differences among nations are at a peak.  They also occur in major cold years at the end of cooling streaks.  Knowing when wars tend to occur reduces the uncertainty that leads to military over-preparation, which is costly to society.  Good defense planning will reduce the military whenever war is less likely.  Nicolai Kondratieff in 1926 in Russia began the work on long cycles in economics.  See the link attached for my detailed power-point as presented in Toronto at the World Conference on Sociology to a beaming audience of proud Russians and others.

Presentation Combining the Three Kondratieff Waves, Natural, Economic, Wars:

https://www.academia.edu/37064850/Weather_Wealth_Wars_54_Year_Cycle_7-21-18_2p

List of 56 major events 2.5% error (1.32 years average error) on 54 years cycle time:

https://www.academia.edu/4101856/EVENTS_Weather_Economy_War_List56_54yrCycle_3p.

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, July 27), “Climate Theories Clarified”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Climate-Theories-Clarified-USA,2018160104.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

How Right Wing Changed USA

Perhaps it began with McCarthyism, Ayn Rand, and the John Birch Society reaction against Communism, the New Deal, and the Great Society.  Of course it began with the birth of Empire America after World War Two.  But I agree with Cedrick Smith’s book “Who Stole the American Dream” that the Powell memo of 1971 (and the Nixon administration) instituted and planted the seeds of reaction to the Civil Rights movement and the peace movement against the Vietnam War.  The birth of monetarism economics eclipsing Keynesianism is also an important part of the story.  The first step was the rise of right wing institutes in the seventies like ALEC, CATO, and Heritage to rationalize the domination of the ruling class over the middle class.  This and the socioeconomic nature of a high military spending society pushed America into more of a medieval and Third World society, away from democracy and towards dictatorship.  Of course the 1947 National Security Act begins the empire society gradually leading to the rise of Ronald Reagan.  But the crucial step in this long transformation is the 1981 Reagan tax cut.  This 60% cut in the top income tax rate directly stops social mobility, freezing the middle class out of future income gains and locking in ever increasing income inequality and the current lack of social mobility.  America has traded places with Europe becoming a class based society abandoning the Horatio Alger tradition.  The dominoes of empire just keep falling into place with the rise of the Newt Gingrich Republican congress of 1995.  The last time the congress produced a regular budget with 12 appropriations bills was 1994.  Now spending is passed in omnibus bills for short periods of time less than a year, so leadership controlled that the dysfunctional congress is increasingly over time more dictatorial and less democratic.  Reagan’s repeal in 1987 of the “equal time” provisions for political discourse in the mass media lead directly to right wing radio like Rush Limbaugh and right wing television like Fox News in 1996.  Clinton’s 1999 repeal of the 1938 Glass-Steagall bill separating banking from investment banking leads directly to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 nine years later with a tenfold increase in derivatives without government oversight.  Frank Luntz, Newt Gingrich, and twelve leading House and Senate Republicans met to block all Obama legislation, including emergency economic bailouts while the economy was losing 750,000 jobs per month, in a decision reached 1-20-09 the night of Obama’s inauguration.  Mitch McConnell, the Republican Senate leader implemented that policy then, and later in blocked Obama’s Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland immediately one hour after the death of Anthony Scalia February 13, 2018.  Such extremism was later matched by Trump’s attempted appeal of everything Obama, including health care.  Clearly there has been an unbelievable escalation of obstructionism since 1971.  Jimmy Carter and a Princeton study have recognized this rise of oligarchy at the expense of democracy.  The activist reactionary Supreme Court, conservative since 1972, has gone radical right since choosing a president in the Bush v Gore case of December 12, 2000.  It repealed election finance laws in Citizens United 2010, and destroyed a forty year precedent in labor relations in 2018 and refused to reverse an absurd reapportionment in Wisconsin this year.

Reuschlein’s Theory of Empire

There is no greater power than the power to take one’s life away.  Hence military power represents a widescale application of such power.  Presidents with wars attached to them tend to be our highest ranked presidents, hence winning war is usually rewarded handsomely on the president’s biography and historical review. Wars are very expensive, hence great political power is exerted doling out the money.  High military spending states dominate the leadership in congress, the cabinet, and the presidency.  Judging by the Roman Empire and modern experience, there is a strong tendency to become less democratic and more autocratic the longer an empire exists.  In Rome the movement was from republic to emperor.  In America the movement of power is from congress to the executive, and in congress from committees to leadership.  Politics moves from flexible to rigid.  Too many people view these trends as inevitable, when in fact levels of military funding can be shown over and over again as the prime forcing agent in things like deindustrialization, low economic growth, inequality, crime, rigidity in polirics, poor health outcomes, and lack of social mobility.  Spiritual decay is usually a result, not a cause, of empire decline.  Complacency is also a result, not a cause of decline.  Corruption increases in high military spending states, hence the worst mortgage abuses leading up to the Great Recession were in high military spending states like California, Texas, Florida, Arizona, and Connecticut.

Conclusions

The total victory concept of the world wars gradually over time became embedded by America’s most military oriented political party.  Among low information voters this party stood for many American values that it did not follow.  Among the endless hypocrisies and lies were notions of support for the constitution, small business, and local government.  The term fake news was invented to justify contradictions that were in fact lies.  More government and more debt were justified by more lies.  Lack of job creation in 2017 compared to the last six years before was justified by ever lowering unemployment rates as part of a long trend started by a predecessor.  Hoover tariff strategy that gave us the Great Depression were championed as good bargaining.  Draining the swamp was shown to be a hollow slogan as the president made deals to benefit himself and his family at the expense of foreign policy, and his cabinet followed his own corrupt lead.  Putin criticism was put off limits to maintain his ties to his benefactor.  American institutions like the press, FBI and justice were disregarded when inconvenient or worse, vilified.

The rise of Trump represents the lack of all compromise with the left and the lack of any pretense about what motivates the new media created right wing mentality.  A nation of laws has been replaced with a cult of personality with endless attacks on all enemies.  Trump admires dictators and belittles democracies, just like an emperor.

How the principles of empire affect us all:

https://www.academia.edu/11421799/MILITARISM_CONTROL_Empire_Social_Decay_WWW_97_6p

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, July 8), “How Right Wing Changed USA”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/How-Right-Wing-Changed-USA,2018159439.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Plot to Destroy Democracy

The Plot to Destroy Democracy by Malcolm Nance has just come out giving the history of the Russian strategy to dismantle alliances, trade treaties, and the US government.  Nance alleges all of Trumps pro-Russian stances emerged from a two hour meeting with the richest oligarchs in Russia in 2013 when he was in Russia for his Miss Universe pageant.  He further alleges that Trump is easily impressed by those he talks to like this.  For instance, notice how he adopted Kim’s terminology of provocative war-games when he abandoned joint exercises with South Korea unilaterally after the Singapore meeting with the North Korean leader.  Steve Bannon’s “dismantle the administrative state” includes cutting one third of the state department staff.  All of this is a dream come true to Vladimir Putin.  Trump has questioned the Russian sanctions, pointing out that the annexed Ukraine territory are all Russian speaking peoples.  Trump has argued that the Russians could help against ISIS in Syria, despite evidence that Russian attacks there are almost exclusively against the moderate opposition to the Assad regime.  Assad has killed hundreds of thousands of unarmed at first civilians that at one time were peacefully protesting.  Trump does not oppose this, unless chemical weapons are involved.

Dictator’s Playbook

In January 2018 the New York Times reported that Trump lied 2000 times but still does not call him a liar in most coverage.  In May 2018 the Washington Post extended their own list of Trump lies to 3000.  Trump’s answer is to call the mainstream press “enemies of the people” and urges his supporters to confront them.  He repeatedly refers them as “fake news”.  Fox News and especially Sean Hannity have become state TV for the president.  Sean Hannity and the morning show “Fox and Friends” keep giving Trump ideas publically and in daily private phone calls with Sean Hannity.  Founding figures and former presidents like Thomas Jefferson and James Monroe considered a free press more vital to democracy than even elections.  A new Axios poll asks “How often do you think news sources report news they know to be fake, false, or purposely misleading?” and shows that 92% of Republicans answer this question either “a lot” or “sometimes” and 7% answer rarely or never.  For Democrats the answers are 53% to 46%.  In both cases Fox News may be a source of fake news as seen by the Democrats or has convinced Republicans, combined with the presidents tweets and statements, that the mainstream press distorts the truth.  Either way, repetition is the way to use lies to overwhelm the timidly presented truth, hence the mainstream press tendency to normalize the president’s extreme behavior is weakening democracy, to Putin’s delight.

History of Distraction

The presidential spokesperson Kellyanne Conway keeps referring to “alternative facts” to explain away the president’s lies.  Malcolm Nance calls the June 9, 2016 Trump tower Russia meeting the “dangle”, with the purpose of confirming Trump campaign interest in dirt on Hillary Clinton. Nance is convinced that Trump junior told Trump senior about that meeting, and the next day Trump promises a report on Clinton dirt in an upcoming speech.  When Trump later suggests some other source than the Russians for the wiki-leaks release of hacked material he is clearly being disingenuous.  Whenever Trump gets into political trouble, he blames others for the problem he created.  When he claims there is no evidence of collusion or obstruction he ignores the five guilty pleas among six advisors charged.  When he claims the Russians had no impact on the election, he ignores the 14 Russians and 3 Russian companies charged.  His Republican allies in the House echo his lines and seek to win over the public with repetition of outright lies. Republicans insist Mueller should “wrap it up” after only 397 days.  This compares to Iran Contra lasting 2420 days and Whitewater lasting 2978 days.

Conclusions

High military spending empires decay and corrode because of the drain on manufacturing in favor of service sectors like the stock market and banks.  Complacency sets in only when this process is advanced and becomes a way of life.  Corruption and crime are direct results of the high military spending.  American has had seventy years under this new empire regime and the excuses are well prepared to perpetuate the system.  It is not inevitable, it can be changed, especially if the electoral swing states of the industrial and agricultural inland states begin to recognize the exploitation of their production by the service sector financial and military coastal states at their expense.  Half of Cold War funding was taxed out of the Rust Belt to benefit the Sun Belt.  The swindle has been long in the making, starting with the 1971 Powell memo organizing business against progressivism.  Right wing institutes, like CATO ALEC and Heritage, and economic theories were funded next, then Reagan used a 1981 tax cut plan as a Trojan Horse to cut the top tax rate on the rich 60% at the expense of the middle class who were suckered in with a 15% cut.  This restored the primacy of a rich oligarchy who locked in their gains by funding the so-called “conservative party” which counterintuitively increased funding more than the other party by increasing military spending.  All this lead to draining the middle class, creating a resentment that the rich exploited to further enhance their position of power and control.  Soon the middle class started resorting to borrowing to maintain their standard of living, and the rich overworked them to keep them distracted from what the rich were doing to them.  So empire deepened, entertainment expanded to further distract the middle class and scapegoats were invented to divide the middle class. Bread and Circuses. Lords and Serfs. Fear to keep people in their place.  And along comes Trump to take advantage of it all.  Putin’s Apprentice.

How the principles of democracy were overridden:

https://www.academia.edu/36069836/_Constitutional_Implications_of_War_February_2018_3p

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, July 3), “Plot to Destroy Democracy”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from: https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Plot-to-Destroy-Democracy.2018159293.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

Conspiracy Theory Diversion

“Conspiracy Theories” are often looked down on as crazy ideas, like the alleged sex ring operated out of a pizza shop by Hillary Clinton in October 2016.  But the spy business, like the CIA and others, often uses the term to cover up their various misdeeds.  Tricks of the trade like “cut-outs” are used to disguise the identity of the real people or agencies behind a given plot.  “Cut-outs” are go-betweens, like when a drug lord gets kids to deliver the actual contraband.  Labeling something a “conspiracy theory” operates kind of like that, it seeks to divert attention away from the actual facts and circumstances of an operation and return people’s focus back to the original whitewash story or cover story used to explain what is going on.  Members of the press and academics are then shamed, ridiculed, or coerced to stick to the original cover story, no matter how ludicrous.  This collective pressure to maintain the story is often the price demanded to be accepted by polite society.  There have been so many misdeeds done by our intelligence agencies over the years that:  it is not uncommon when you are hearing someone explain their new book or new research and you ask them a question about another so-called “conspiracy theory” they often demur and refuse to endorse some other proposition they have not personally investigated.  So “conspiracy theory” is the taboo put on any line of investigation that does not meet official mainstream approval.  Considerable evidence exists to confirm the continuing existence of the CIA Operation Mockingbird control of certain parameters of mainstream press stories.  Even the best journalists, like Amy Goodman and Rachel Maddow, who courageously expose many government misdeeds are often persuaded to adhere to certain guidelines.

Destabilizing Governments

The CIA proudly tells how they staved off France and Italy from going communist after World War II.  They also undermined the democratically elected Mosaddeq government in Iran in August 1953 and replaced him with the Shah, who later became famous for his SAVAK cruel police force.  This CIA-British operation lead by the grandson of President Teddy Roosevelt ultimately backfired when the Ayatollah took over in 1979.  So the CIA had plenty of experience with coup de tats when 1963 rolled around.  Anyone who watched the PBS series “I, Claudius” or had seen the Shakespearean plays “Julius Caesar” and “Macbeth” would not be surprised to find skullduggery at the top of an empire, since power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.  And anyone who has read the “Path to Power” book by Robert Caro about Lyndon Johnson would realize that nothing would stop him from rising as far as he possible could by any means necessary.  The movie “JFK” is documented extensively in a research footnoted script companion book, including things like keeping the 3000 man Sam Houston Brigade off the streets of Dallas the day of the assassination.  Mob influenced Jack Ruby can silence Oswald, but only the government can change the parade overnight, slow the car down to ten miles per hour, take troops off the streets, and other set-ups.  The CIA needed a spy network in the Soviet Union after 1945 and accepted many former Nazi spies out of necessity.  The CIA has often worked with the mob and drug lords as well:  these kinds of compromises come at a high cost.

Confusion Helps the Whitewash

Many CIA tactics perfected in the 1950s have endured down through the decades, and the prohibition of interfering domestically by the CIA has often been ignored in practice, while being adhered to in lip service.  Setting up Red Herrings to take the fall or responsibility for any given act is a cherished CIA tactic.  Lee Harvey Oswald is a good example.  Someone with a mustache in Mexico City is shown in one photograph outside the Cuban Embassy.  Supposedly that person was Lee Harvey Oswald.  Later, a reluctant Earl Warren is arm twisted to chair the Commission on President Kennedy’s death.  Lyndon Johnson cites evidence tracing Lee Harvey Oswald links back to the Soviets and or the Cubans and says to Warren, “do you want a nuclear war?”  So the ruse works with just enough manufactured evidence to suggest that possibility.  Of course this is ludicrous, when you know that Khrushchev cried when he heard Kennedy died because both Kennedy and Khrushchev knew that the world had come too close to oblivion in the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.  They agreed to the 1963 atmospheric test ban treaty and were preparing to work on mutual disarmament in Kennedy’s second term.  Kennedy on September 8th, 1963 issued an executive order beginning withdrawal from Vietnam that Christmas.  That and dismantling CIA covert operations in a second term were a combination of threats to the CIA and military industrial complex that had to be stopped.  Lyndon and Hoover agreed, and the rest is history.  Conferences of 400 Kennedy Assassination researchers were meeting each year around 1990.  Hundreds of books were being written.  So when I began to find out the truth on the twenty-fifth anniversary, 1988, watching a Geraldo Rivera show, I started to read books.  Except for the pro-CIA books like “Case Closed” by Gerald Posner, or later the Vince Bugliosi book, all the other five or six bookstore available books I purchased and read seemed to fit together, explaining various parts of the story.  The only major confusion came from the Posner book who in the words of a lawyer friend who retraced my journey and more, is nothing but a lot of newspaper articles with no real evidence.  The Bugliosi book is based on various tests that allegedly confirm the Oswald story, despite the numerous and endless contradictions of that narrative.  When Oswald said in the Saturday night new conference that he was a “patsy” that film clip shows how shook-up he was when he was asked if he killed President Kennedy.  Up until that time he was only questioned about Officer Tippett.  How could he be observed in a third floor lunch room 90 seconds after the murder by a policeman and not be out of breath from descending three flights of stairs and running across the sixth floor to the stairs?  How could he casually “escape” by going out the front door and waiting patiently at the nearby bus stop and taking a bus?  Evidence suggests the real shooter escaped out the back way with a get-away car waiting for him.  The photo of Oswald with a gun and newspaper is of a 6’3” man not the 5’8” Oswald, with Oswald’s face put on the other man with obvious shading contradictions.  Then there’s the nine one hour episodes of the Arts and Entertainment Network exploding one myth after another, from the Dallas doctors to the phony DC autopsy, the colorized Judy Mormon photo of the muzzle flash shot by a blue uniformed man behind the picket fence on the grassy knoll, that 26 eye witnesses saw some part of, that grassy knoll throat and fatal head shot.  Six shots by three shooters from three locations are carefully documented by one of the one hour specials.  The Oswald double is discussed in another.  Hiring from Marseille, Lucien Sate the main shooter behind the picket fence, was known for his dum-dum bullets and crazy risk taking that cost him his life nine years later in 1972.  In Dallas, near the Texas School Book Depository, is located a bookstore with all kinds of crazy conspiracy books, books I have never seen in any ordinary bookstore.  This only serves the purpose of confusing the issue, helping the CIA to perpetuate the whitewash.  But the real story is not how, but why.  When you study why, the combination of Kennedy haters becomes clearly defined, from Hoover to Johnson to CIA to military to the mob.  Gerald Ford served on the Warren Commission reporting back to Hoover the goings on so the cover-up included the FBI.  Hoover had blackmailed Kennedy over sex issues in 1960 to put Johnson on the ticket.  Hoover claimed there was no mafia in America because the mob blackmailed him over his homosexuality including an affair with Roy Cohn.  Bobby going after the mob only united the mob and FBI.

Tony Avirgan

The Christic Institute sent their Jesuit Priest, William J. Davis to Eugene, OR to plead their case against the CIA for bombing an Eden Pastora press conference and wounding Tony Avirgan, the legal case plaintiff.  I asked him afterwards of he thought he could get justice out of a Miami US Court.  He did think so, but I knew better.  In January 1990 I spoke in three workshops on a Peace Economy conference in St. Thomas University in Miami.  The pro military bias is so strong in the South that the local newspaper, the Miami Herald, refused to even put a small notice out on this conference even though the promoters sent fifteen press releases on the matter.  I once used the Peace Resource Handbook (5000 national peace groups circa 1980s) to show that peace groups per capita in various states was about 90% correlated with a state’s military spending per capita.  The one clear exception was the 11 former confederate states of the South, where peace groups per capita was far below the national average, just a few per state, about a hundred for the whole region.  So it was no surprise to me to later hear the judge fined the Christic Institute $1,000,000 just for filing the entirely legitimate lawsuit.  Don’t tell me the CIA can’t influence the courts. CIA stories are so crazy even judges tend not to believe them, as I witnessed in one case where even the defense attorney seemed not to believe the former CIA client on trial.  The secret society can seemingly get away with anything, except in the third world where they are “on” to the Company.  Tony Avirgan’s mother picked me up at the airport in Costa Rica for two conferences there, and at the peace center created by Quakers, I learned how Oliver North was considered a war criminal subject to arrest if he entered Costa Rica.  Fifteen congressman were threatening the Costa Rica government for upholding their laws against the likes of North and Hull.  John Hull’s ranch was where planes landed after dropping weapons to the Contras in Nicaragua.  On the back shipment crack cocaine went to South Central Los Angeles according to books by journalists Leslie Cockburn of CBS and Gary Webb of the San Jose Mercury News, among others.

Jesse Ventura

Jesse Ventura tells the story in one of his books that one month after he became governor of Minnesota in a surprise defeat of both the Democrat and the Republican, he was asked to come down to the basement of the state capital.  There he met 25 CIA people who wanted to know how he got himself elected.  He asked them as many questions as they asked him.  Later he discovered that every state cabinet in the nation has at least one CIA person.  So much for the CIA staying out of domestic affairs.

Amy Goodman

“Democracy Now” is a wonderful show, but when I asked her about the CIA and the media and Operation Mockingbird in a Madison, WI appearance, she said she had a whole chapter in her book about it.  Wrong, that chapter is all about corporate media, nothing about the CIA.  This socialist belief on the left that all things evil are capitalist rooted and separate consideration of the military industrial intelligence complex is not necessary, leads to mistakes.  Noam Chomsky still believes Vietnam would have occurred had Kennedy lived, for instance, clearly not true as the real record is intensively examined by more and more scholars.  Institutions can override, but individuals still matter.

Rachel Maddow

Rachel Maddow, Oxford Doctorate knows enough not to even suggest any legitimacy to the “9-11 Truth” movement.  Yet she dutifully reported a landing gear from an airliner stuck in the side of a building about 500 feet away from the trade towers and thirty some floors up in the air.  Samples of the rubble showed traces of a powerful CIA explosive in a peer reviewed article.  When oil pipeline talks collapsed in July 2001 with the Taliban in Afghanistan, British newspapers predicted an October US invasion. San Francisco mayor Willy Brown and Attorney General John Ashcroft were warned in advance not to fly on 9-11.  Dan Rather announced the building 7 collapse as a controlled demolition in his original live broadcast, and was gone a few years later.  Donald Trump hinted at the truth, as someone in the real estate business would know a demolition when one saw one, but so far hasn’t played that card yet.  The building 7 collapse was announced on the BBC minutes before it happened, with the actual building showing as still standing in the window over the shoulder of the woman making the announcement.

Bill Clinton

Even with 1974-75 Church congressional hearings concluding the assassination must have been a conspiracy because there were too many bullets to account for, and 85% of the public believing the Warren Commission was wrong, President Bill Clinton claimed he believed the Warren Commission.  Why?  No one wants to end up dead like the Kennedy brothers.  Sometimes you have to go along to get along.

9-11 World Reactions

Someone in my accounting office took a vacation to Brazil after 9-11, and discovered people there hated Americans.  Did she not know about the 186 US military incursions into Latin America in the twentieth century?  Yet world opinion was so sympathetic (about 85%) to the US after 9-11 that even Iran supported the Afghanistan invasion at least until they were included in the axis of evil, with Iraq and North Korea.  Funny how all three countries had switched to buying oil in Euros instead of dollars, including Iran plans for an exchange located in Tehran.  The Korea inclusion in the axis of evil killed the nuclear peace process started by Carter and Clinton in 1994.  9-11 gets complicated quickly, favoring a CIA cover-up of the real story.

These War Decision Mechanisms often parallel CIA thinking:

https://www.academia.edu/28245203/WAR_Decision_Mechanisms_7_Papers_2013-2016_8p

Please cite this work as follows:

Reuschlein, Robert. (2018, June 14), “Conspiracy Theory Diversions”, Madison, WI:  Real Economy Institute.  Retrieved from:  https://www.expertclick.com/NewsRelease/Conspiracy-Theory-Diversion,2018158596.aspx

Dr. Peace, Professor Robert Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute

Nominated Vetted for 2016, Given Odds for 2017 Nobel Peace Prize

Possible Favorite in 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Announced October 5th.
Contact: bobreuschlein@gmail.com, Info: www.realeconomy.com

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