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Paradigm Shifts of Peace Econ

Military Spending is Nonproductive

Under military Keynesianism it has long been believed that military spending stimulates economic growth in a country.  The voices that believed military spending is nonproductive did not create an economic model to support that new view, hence military Keynesianism prevailed essentially unchallenged.  Reuschlein created such an alternative economic model in 1986 and showed that it produced a near perfect (R=.999) 64 year model of US manufacturing productivity on a Kondratiev Wave of 54 years and a Juglar Cycle of 8-10 years.  Because Reuschlein was an engineer with no familiarity with the peer review social science model at that time, he did not know how to handle the request by Nils Petter Gledisch of the Peace Research Institute of Oslo to turn his 52 page copyrighted book “Peace Economics” into an article according to their guidelines.  Mike Grove, an economics professor at the local University of Oregon suggested that he present his ideas at the annual conference of the Union of Radical Political Economists (URPE).  Another CPA friend, Gene Emge, was teaching a “Beyond War” course through the Innovative Education Department at the University of Oregon.  He followed Emge’s example by offering a “Peace Economics” course through that same program and with course approval of Val Burris and David Milton of the Sociology Department and Bob O’Brien as Department Chair of Sociology.  Later State Representative Carl Hosticka, a Democratic Party colleague of Reuschlein’s, approved teaching the course through his Department of Planning Public Policy and Management.

Military Spending Main Characteristic Empire, Major Force Social Sciences

Military spending defines economics in a way more like a law of physics than a branch of the social sciences.  This makes it very difficult to achieve peer review acceptance from social scientists and may require engineers or physicists to be the appropriate peer review group.  The unusually straight forward relationships in murder rates, crime rates, national politics, and regional economics in the United States, especially during the high military spending years of the Cold War, all suggest this paradigm:  high military spending causes the collapse of empires and explains a whole host of wholesale changes America has undergone in the last seventy years.  The end of World War II began the modern age of empire for America, although American empire is a largely soft power empire unlike brutal empires of the past.  The socioeconomic forces of empire emphasize a growing inequality and dying middle class, rigidity in politics, declining health and educational statistics and other signs of social decay that can be empirically tied to the level of military spending better than alternative explanations.  The empire point of view ties it all together in a way most social scientists are still unable to comprehend and credit what it going on in America today.

Regional Economic Growth is Influenced by Change in Military Budget.

The only positive correlation in military economics arises because while the cost of military spending is a national burden on all the states, the benefits of that national distribution to high military spending states are determined by political forces that benefit at the expense of the low military spending states.  While the nation as a whole loses because military spending consumes resources without giving back a civilian economic product, local regions benefit while national manufacturing suffers everywhere.  Political power goes to those able to control the very unequal flow of military spending around the country:  the president, and leaders in congress and key committees divide up the spoils of the largest slush fund in Washington, DC.  And seven of the ten richest counties in America are those around Washington, DC.

Kondratiev Wave 54 Year Cycle is Grounded in Natural Earth Forces

Although much evidence for the 54 year cycle is out there, social sciences have been very reluctant to recognize this evidence, and have failed to connect the three cycles of extreme natural events, economic long term events, and long term political events and wars.  Connecting explanations developed by Reuschlein are gradually getting more and more reliable, but there is great need for more research.  One person operating alone, however brilliant, can not do the job justice.  A few close confidants finally beginning to “get it” helps but is not enough.  The connections of a large professional institute or research university are desperately needed to fill the enormous potential that could improve disaster forecasting worldwide.  The long cycle begins with faster warming over land than over water.  Because of the unequal use of sunlight to vaporize water everywhere, oceans have little sunlight left for direct warming while land has lots of sunlight left for warming and deserts have the most warming of all due to the lack of water in the desert.  This is why the land heavy Northern Hemisphere has three times the seasonal fluctuation of the ocean heavy Southern Hemisphere.  Because the ocean currents keep those waters mixing from equator to poles, the ocean is much warmer than the land overall.  This makes the land the more volatile element in the land ocean system.

Elegance in Both Systems

Both the economic system and the temperature change system become amazingly regular and consistent when adjusted for military spending and the 54 year cycle respectively.  The land ocean temperature differences explain many features of the planetary system of climate change. The ocean currents head North from the equator along both sides of the Eurasian North African supercontinent in an attempt by nature to warm the cold Northern lands.  The back current along both sides of North America gives America much colder winters despite most of Europe being North of most of the United States.  The land heavy wind belt of Canada and Russia holds many of the Earth’s persistent (average) high pressure systems while the ocean heavy wind belt of the equator gives rise to massive storm systems dumping rain on East Asia and Southeast India and the Pacific Ocean has most of the Earth’s persistent low pressure systems.  The Earth spins East as the equatorial Pacific storms build and move West.  The greater tendency to rain over land than over ocean also helps the energy transfer to the much cooler lands.

For more on the evolution of the natural long weather cycle in modern times:

https://www.academia.edu/6002772/WEATHER_CYCLE_7_p._from_WWW_1997

For a one page summary of key statistical facts in the Reuschlein theories.

https://www.academia.edu/4044456/SUMMARY_Military_HighAccuracy 13

Professor Robert Reuschlein, Dr. Peace,

Nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize 2016

Real Economy Institute, Madison, Wisconsin

CONTACT: bobreuschlein@gmail.com 608-230-6640,

INFO: www.realeconomy.com

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3 thoughts on “Paradigm Shifts of Peace Econ

  1. Pingback: 10 Scientific Revolution Facts | bobreuschlein

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